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Egersund vs Sogndal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena, Egersund
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Egersund host Sogndal in the OBOS-ligaen. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Egersund at 1.75 goals for, 2.07 against; Sogndal at 1.93 for, 2 against. Head-to-head, Egersund have won 1 to Sogndal's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 4:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.25) point toward Egersund. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Egersund
30%
Draws
31%
Sogndal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Egersund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Egersund come out ahead of Sogndal on wins alone.
  • Sogndal are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Egersund Clean Sheet 10%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egersund Sogndal
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.07 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Egersund
4:2
Oct 25, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Egersund
0:1
May 25, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Egersund vs Sogndal
0:2
Aug 3, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Egersund vs Sogndal
0:2
Jun 9, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Egersund
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egersund 14 / 100
Sogndal 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egersund Sogndal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sogndal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sogndal has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Egersund found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Egersund stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Egersund VS Sogndal
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Egersund

(Home)
02 Oct
Ranheim
5 : 0
Egersund
20 Sept
Odds BK
5 : 1
Egersund
16 Sept
Jerv
1 : 2
Egersund
13 Sept
Egersund
1 : 1
Kongsvinger
06 Sept
Lyn
1 : 1
Egersund
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Sogndal

(Away)
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1
Sogndal
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
13 Sept
Sogndal
1 : 1
Strommen
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0
Sogndal
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3
Stromsgodset
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 24 18 1 5 74:39 55
2 Kongsvinger 24 16 5 3 70:35 53
3 Stromsgodset 24 15 6 3 61:31 51
4 Stabaek 24 14 3 7 57:31 45
5 Odds BK 24 11 6 7 50:38 39
6 Bryne 24 12 2 10 33:31 38
7 Hodd 24 10 4 10 40:48 34
8 Ranheim 24 9 4 11 61:58 31
9 Egersund 24 8 5 11 36:49 29
10 Lyn 24 8 4 12 39:49 28
11 Strommen 24 7 5 12 38:55 26
12 Sandnes Ulf 24 7 4 13 35:45 25
13 Moss 24 7 4 13 38:54 25
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 24 5 5 14 34:53 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)