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Egham Town vs Bowers & Pitsea

England England

FA Trophy 2017/2018
Tue, Nov 7, 2017
3 - 5
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Egham Town play Bowers & Pitsea in the FA Trophy 2017/2018. Egham Town are favorites here. Recently, Egham Town averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Bowers & Pitsea averaged 0.85 goals scored and 2.12 conceded. In past meetings, Egham Town won 0, Bowers & Pitsea won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 7, 2017 ended 3:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Egham Town and 1.19 for Bowers & Pitsea. This points to a Egham Town double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Egham Town
15%
Draws
28%
Bowers & Pitsea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Egham Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Egham Town picked up more points recently compared to Bowers & Pitsea.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Egham Town Clean Sheet 20%
Bowers & Pitsea Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egham Town Bowers & Pitsea
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 13 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.83 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.12
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2017 FA Trophy
Egham Town vs Bowers & Pitsea
3:5
Oct 28, 2017 FA Trophy
Bowers & Pitsea vs Egham Town
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egham Town 55 / 100
Bowers & Pitsea 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egham Town Bowers & Pitsea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Egham Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Egham Town & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Egham Town attacking → ← attacking Bowers & Pitsea

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Egham Town scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Bowers & Pitsea let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Egham Town went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bowers & Pitsea lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 23
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75