Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Ethiopia U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Egypt U17
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Egypt U17 come out ahead of Ethiopia U17 on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Egypt U17's way, sitting at 90%.
- Egypt U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ethiopia U17, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Ethiopia U17 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Egypt U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Ethiopia U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Egypt U17 | Ethiopia U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 16 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 13, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Egypt U17 vs Ethiopia U17
0:0
Aug 21, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Ethiopia U17 vs Egypt U17
2:1
Aug 6, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Egypt U17 vs Ethiopia U17
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Egypt U17 85 / 100
Ethiopia U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Egypt U17 Ethiopia U17
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Egypt U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Egypt U17 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).
Ethiopia U17 has conceded goals in 63% of their last 16 outings.
Games between these two average 2.33 goals.
Solid form: Egypt U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Egypt U17 VS Ethiopia U17
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Egypt U17
(Home) 01 Jun
Morocco U17
0 : 2 Egypt U17
28 May
Egypt U17
0 : 1 Tanzania U17
24 May
Ivory Coast U17
1 : 4 Egypt U17
19 May
Morocco U17
2 : 1 Egypt U17
16 May
Tunisia U17
1 : 2 Egypt U17
Page 1 of 7
28 May
Egypt U17
0 : 1 Tanzania U17
13 May
Egypt U17
0 : 0 Ethiopia U17
10 Nov
Egypt U17
0 : 3 England U17
07 Nov
Egypt U17
1 : 1 Venezuela U17
12 Apr
Egypt U17
2 : 1 Angola U17
Page 1 of 4
Ethiopia U17
(Away) 23 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2 Mozambique U17
19 May
Tunisia U17
0 : 1 Ethiopia U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2 Morocco U17
13 May
Egypt U17
0 : 0 Ethiopia U17
02 Oct
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2 Mali U17
Page 1 of 4
19 May
Tunisia U17
0 : 1 Ethiopia U17
13 May
Egypt U17
0 : 0 Ethiopia U17
18 Sept
Mali U17
2 : 0 Ethiopia U17
06 Aug
Egypt U17
1 : 3 Ethiopia U17
02 Aug
Gabon U17
3 : 0 Ethiopia U17
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Ghana U17 -
Liberia U17 -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
Benin U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Niger U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria U17 -
Algeria U17 4
Libya U17 4
TBD -
Gabon U17 -
Mali U17 -
TBD -
D.R. Congo U17 -
Chad U17 -
Egypt U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
Morocco U17 2
Mauritania U17 1
TBD -
Guinea U17 -
Sudan U17 16
Djibouti U17 0
TBD -
Zambia U17 -
Kenya U17 -
Malawi U17 -
TBD -
Cameroon U17 -
Tanzania U17 9
Seychelles U17 0
TBD -
South Africa U17 -
Namibia U17 2
Botswana U17 2
TBD -
Congo U17 -
Angola U17 -
TBD -
Lesotho U17 -
Mauritius U17 -
Mozambique U17 -
TBD -
Zimbabwe U17 -
Comoros U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Ghana U17 6
Burkina Faso U17 5
Benin U17 2
Ivory Coast U17 4
Niger U17 3
Nigeria U17 2
Algeria U17 0
Gabon U17 1
Mali U17 12
Chad U17 0
Egypt U17 2
Ethiopia U17 5
Senegal U17 6
Tunisia U17 4
Morocco U17 2
Guinea U17 3
Sudan U17 1
Zambia U17 0
Kenya U17 1
Cameroon U17 9
Tanzania U17 3
South Africa U17 1
Namibia U17 1
Congo U17 5
Angola U17 4
Mauritius U17 0
Mozambique U17 1
Comoros U17 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Ghana U17 3
Ivory Coast U17 1
Niger U17 4
Gabon U17 3
Mali U17 4
Ethiopia U17 1
Senegal U17 1
Guinea U17 2
Sudan U17 5
Cameroon U17 7
Tanzania U17 3
Congo U17 3
Angola U17 7
Comoros U17 0
TBD -
TBD -
