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Egypt W vs Malawi W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Kadzere R.
Assist: Chawinga T.
45' Event
Chinzimu F.
46'
Sub
Essam S. In: Nadda D.
Out: Essam S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Egypt W
15%
Draws
64%
Malawi W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malawi W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Egypt W lately — more wins on the board than Malawi W.
  • Malawi W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Egypt W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Malawi W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Egypt W Clean Sheet 13%
Malawi W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egypt W Malawi W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 3 3
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.41 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Egypt W vs Malawi W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Egypt W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hassan I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Malawi W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kadzere R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chinzimu F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egypt W 10 / 100
Malawi W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egypt W Malawi W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malawi W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Egypt W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Malawi W has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Egypt W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Egypt W VS Malawi W
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Egypt W

(Home)
05 Aug
Egypt W
2 : 6
Nigeria W
01 Aug
Egypt W
1 : 3
Malawi W
28 Jul
Zambia W
6 : 0
Egypt W
11 Jul
Egypt W
1 : 0
Senegal W
08 Jul
Egypt W
0 : 1
Senegal W
Page 1 of 6

Malawi W

(Away)
09 Oct
Malawi W
2 : 0
Zimbabwe W
16 Aug
Cameroon W
3 : 0
Malawi W
12 Aug
Algeria W
1 : 3
Malawi W
09 Aug
Malawi W
2 : 1
Ghana W
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Algeria W 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Senegal W 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast W 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 South Africa W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burkina Faso W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Tanzania W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Nigeria W 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Zambia W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
4 Egypt W 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Mali W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Cape Verde W 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)