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Ehime vs Renofa Yamaguchi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Ningineer Stadium, Matsuyama
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ehime host Renofa Yamaguchi in the J3 League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Ehime at 1.71 goals for, 0.96 against; Renofa Yamaguchi at 1.54 for, 1.21 against. Head-to-head, Ehime have won 1 to Renofa Yamaguchi's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2025, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.31) back Ehime to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ehime
20%
Draws
45%
Renofa Yamaguchi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Renofa Yamaguchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ehime carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ehime Clean Sheet 18%
Renofa Yamaguchi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ehime Renofa Yamaguchi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 16
Draws 2 2
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.71 1.54
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 J2 League
Ehime vs Renofa Yamaguchi
2:0
Apr 5, 2025 J2 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ehime
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 J2 League
Ehime vs Renofa Yamaguchi
1:1
Mar 24, 2024 J2 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ehime
1:1
Dec 5, 2021 J2 League
Ehime vs Renofa Yamaguchi
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ehime 32 / 100
Renofa Yamaguchi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ehime Renofa Yamaguchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ehime found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Renofa Yamaguchi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Ehime went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ehime VS Renofa Yamaguchi
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ehime

(Home)
11 Oct
Kumamoto
0 : 2
Ehime
03 Oct
Ehime
3 : 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
29 Sept
Ehime
0 : 2
FC Tokyo
26 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 1
Ehime
19 Sept
Ehime
2 : 1
Kamatamare Sanuki
Page 1 of 6

Renofa Yamaguchi

(Away)
11 Oct
Tochigi SC
0 : 1
Renofa Yamaguchi
03 Oct
Gifu
0 : 2
Renofa Yamaguchi
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2
SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
Kanazawa
1 : 2
Renofa Yamaguchi
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ehime 10 7 2 1 24:10 23
2 Kagoshima United 10 7 2 1 19:11 23
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 10 6 2 2 14:7 20
4 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
5 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
6 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
7 Gifu 10 5 1 4 20:10 16
8 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
9 Kumamoto 10 3 5 2 7:6 14
10 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
11 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
12 Gainare Tottori 10 4 1 5 12:19 13
13 Matsumoto Yamaga 10 2 5 3 9:11 11
14 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
15 Tochigi SC 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
16 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
17 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)