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EI San Martin vs Astur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Secades A.
38' Event
Secades A.
54' Event
Garcia I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between EI San Martin and Astur finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
EI San Martin
35%
Draws
18%
Astur
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: EI San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • EI San Martin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
EI San Martin Clean Sheet 68%
Astur Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EI San Martin Astur
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 3
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.28 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Astur
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EI San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Secades A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Astur Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barrera A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EI San Martin 41 / 100
Astur 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EI San Martin Astur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EI San Martin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astur has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

EI San Martin's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

EI San Martin has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

EI San Martin VS Astur
1.13 Goals Scored 0.71
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.43
50% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

EI San Martin

(Home)
11 Oct
EI San Martin
4 : 2
Covadonga
03 Oct
Union Club Ceares
1 : 2
EI San Martin
27 Sept
EI San Martin
2 : 2
Astur
20 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 1
EI San Martin
13 Sept
EI San Martin
0 : 4
Condal
Page 1 of 6

Astur

(Away)
11 Oct
Gijon Industrial
2 : 2
Astur
04 Oct
Astur
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
27 Sept
EI San Martin
2 : 2
Astur
20 Sept
Astur
0 : 1
Club Siero
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Condal 6 4 2 0 10:2 14
2 Gijon B 6 4 2 0 10:5 14
3 Covadonga 6 4 1 1 16:8 13
4 CD Mosconia 6 3 3 0 10:3 12
5 Club Siero 6 4 0 2 9:3 12
6 CD Colunga 6 3 2 1 14:12 11
7 Caudal Deportivo 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
8 Lealtad 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
9 Gijon Industrial 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
10 Langreo 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
11 EI San Martin 6 2 2 2 9:12 8
12 Aviles Stadium 6 2 0 4 4:10 6
13 Praviano 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
14 Union Club Ceares 6 1 1 4 9:13 4
15 L Entregu CF 6 1 1 4 2:9 4
16 Astur 6 0 3 3 5:10 3
17 Llanes 6 0 3 3 7:14 3
18 Andes CF 6 0 1 5 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)