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EI San Martin vs Astur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Secades A.
38' Event
Secades A.
54' Event
Garcia I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between EI San Martin and Astur finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
EI San Martin
35%
Draws
19%
Astur
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: EI San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • EI San Martin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives EI San Martin a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
EI San Martin Clean Sheet 20%
Astur Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EI San Martin Astur
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 0.9 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Astur
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EI San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Secades A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Astur Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barrera A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EI San Martin 42 / 100
Astur 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EI San Martin Astur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astur has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: EI San Martin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Astur registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EI San Martin VS Astur
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.33
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

EI San Martin

(Home)
03 Oct
Union Club Ceares
1 : 2
EI San Martin
27 Sept
EI San Martin
2 : 2
Astur
20 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 1
EI San Martin
13 Sept
EI San Martin
0 : 4
Condal
06 Sept
Gijon Industrial
2 : 0
EI San Martin
Page 1 of 6

Astur

(Away)
04 Oct
Astur
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
27 Sept
EI San Martin
2 : 2
Astur
20 Sept
Astur
0 : 1
Club Siero
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 Gijon B 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
3 CD Mosconia 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
4 Condal 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
5 CD Colunga 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
6 Caudal Deportivo 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
7 Club Siero 5 3 0 2 6:3 9
8 Langreo 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
9 Gijon Industrial 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
10 Lealtad 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
11 EI San Martin 5 1 2 2 5:10 5
12 Praviano 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
13 L Entregu CF 5 1 1 3 2:6 4
14 Union Club Ceares 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
15 Llanes 5 0 3 2 6:12 3
16 Aviles Stadium 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
17 Astur 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
18 Andes CF 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)