Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Caudal Deportivo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

EI San Martin play Caudal Deportivo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, EI San Martin averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Caudal Deportivo averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. In past meetings, EI San Martin won 1, Caudal Deportivo won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for EI San Martin and 1.35 for Caudal Deportivo. This points to a Caudal Deportivo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

EI San Martin

28%

Draws

40%

Caudal Deportivo

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Caudal Deportivo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

EI San Martin picked up more points recently compared to Caudal Deportivo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.35 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 60%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

EI San Martin Clean Sheet 18%

Caudal Deportivo Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 54%

Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	EI San Martin	Caudal Deportivo
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	13	19
Draws	8	6
Losses	9	7
Goals Scored	1.1	1.78
Goals Conceded	0.97	1.16
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.71	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

EI San Martin vs Caudal Deportivo

Possession: 55% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Caudal Deportivo vs EI San Martin

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 0 - 0

3:3

Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

EI San Martin vs Caudal Deportivo

Possession: 45% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Caudal Deportivo vs EI San Martin

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Apr 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

EI San Martin vs Caudal Deportivo

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EI San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Tena A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Caudal Deportivo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EI San Martin 32 / 100

Caudal Deportivo 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

EI San Martin Caudal Deportivo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Caudal Deportivo or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

EI San Martin attacking → ← attacking Caudal Deportivo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EI San Martin scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Caudal Deportivo let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

EI San Martin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Caudal Deportivo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 63

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

0.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Llanera	34	29	4	1	71:18	91
2	Covadonga	34	25	5	4	88:24	80
3	Gijon B	34	19	10	5	79:29	67
4	Caudal Deportivo	34	20	6	8	59:39	66
5	CD Mosconia	34	16	7	11	46:29	55
6	EI San Martin	34	14	9	11	36:36	51
7	L Entregu CF	34	13	10	11	41:42	49
8	Union Club Ceares	34	12	9	13	39:40	45
9	Praviano	34	11	9	14	36:42	42
10	Club Siero	34	11	8	15	39:49	41
11	CD Colunga	34	10	9	15	38:59	39
12	Llanes	34	8	13	13	44:51	37
13	Aviles Stadium	34	6	15	13	21:40	33
14	Gijon Industrial	34	7	11	16	36:57	32
15	Lenense	34	7	11	16	36:58	32
16	Navarro	34	6	13	15	38:53	31
17	Tuilla	34	7	6	21	31:60	27
18	Real Titanico	34	3	9	22	22:74	18