Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eibar C vs Aurrera de Vitoria

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Anduaga A.

AI Match Summary

Aurrera de Vitoria in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurrera de Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Eibar C
35%
Draws
38%
Aurrera de Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aurrera de Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aurrera de Vitoria lately — more wins on the board than Eibar C.
  • Win probability leans Eibar C's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Eibar C Clean Sheet 19%
Aurrera de Vitoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eibar C Aurrera de Vitoria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Aurrera de Vitoria
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Eibar C
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eibar C Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Aurrera de Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Anduaga A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eibar C 42 / 100
Aurrera de Vitoria 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eibar C Aurrera de Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Eibar C remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Eibar C scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Aurrera de Vitoria conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Eibar C VS Aurrera de Vitoria
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eibar C

(Home)
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1
Alaves C
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1
Santurtzi
09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0
Pasaia
03 May
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Eibar C
Page 1 of 6

Aurrera de Vitoria

(Away)
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1
Touring KE
05 Sept
Amurrio Club
1 : 2
Aurrera de Vitoria
29 Aug
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 0
Amorebieta
09 May
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Deusto
03 May
Portugalete
1 : 2
Aurrera de Vitoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)