Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eik-Tonsberg vs Jerv

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Tønsberg Gressbane, Tonsberg
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Aamelfot S.
41' Event
Aamelfot S.
46'
Sub
Simba P. In: Syvertsen M.
Out: Simba P.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group 1 game between Eik-Tonsberg and Jerv finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jerv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Eik-Tonsberg
17%
Draws
70%
Jerv
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Jerv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Jerv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Jerv taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Eik-Tonsberg Clean Sheet 20%
Jerv Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eik-Tonsberg Jerv
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Eik-Tonsberg vs Jerv
2:3
Sep 13, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Eik-Tonsberg vs Jerv
2:3
Jun 14, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Eik-Tonsberg
4:1
Aug 31, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Eik-Tonsberg
0:0
May 11, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Eik-Tonsberg vs Jerv
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eik-Tonsberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Aamelfot S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Jerv Compare

Top Goalscorer Syvertsen P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kolve E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eik-Tonsberg 16 / 100
Jerv 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eik-Tonsberg Jerv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Eik-Tonsberg scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Eik-Tonsberg went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eik-Tonsberg VS Jerv
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Eik-Tonsberg

(Home)
02 Aug
Vidar
4 : 3
Eik-Tonsberg
25 Jul
Eik-Tonsberg
5 : 6
Sandviken
27 Jun
Traeff
3 : 1
Eik-Tonsberg
20 Jun
Pors
2 : 0
Eik-Tonsberg
13 Jun
Eik-Tonsberg
0 : 0
Arendal
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Jerv

(Away)
02 Aug
Traeff
3 : 2
Jerv
26 Jul
Jerv
1 : 2
Lysekloster
28 Jun
Sotra
1 : 3
Jerv
21 Jun
Brattvag
1 : 2
Jerv
14 Jun
Jerv
2 : 1
Sandviken
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 14 10 2 2 28:15 32
2 Kvik Halden 14 8 3 3 27:18 27
3 Brattvag 14 8 2 4 26:15 26
4 Mjondalen 14 8 2 4 27:19 26
5 Bjarg 14 8 1 5 25:20 25
6 Notodden 14 7 3 4 21:11 24
7 Traeff 14 6 4 4 27:23 22
8 Sotra 14 6 3 5 27:14 21
9 Pors 14 5 4 5 16:18 19
10 Arendal 14 3 5 6 18:23 14
11 Sandviken 14 4 2 8 21:32 14
12 Lysekloster 14 3 5 6 17:28 14
13 Vidar 14 1 3 10 13:37 6
14 Eik-Tonsberg 14 1 1 12 16:36 4
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
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