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Eilenburg vs Greifswalder FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Benyamina S.
15' Event
Atilgan O.
45' Event
Vogt D.

AI Match Summary

Greifswalder FC in this Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Greifswalder FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Eilenburg
30%
Draws
31%
Greifswalder FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Eilenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Greifswalder FC lately — more wins on the board than Eilenburg.
  • Win probability leans Eilenburg's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Greifswalder FC here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Eilenburg Clean Sheet 14%
Greifswalder FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eilenburg Greifswalder FC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.27 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Eilenburg vs Greifswalder FC
0:6
Nov 9, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Eilenburg
2:1
May 4, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Eilenburg
4:2
Nov 9, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Eilenburg vs Greifswalder FC
0:3
Dec 16, 2023 Regionalliga Nordost
Eilenburg vs Greifswalder FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eilenburg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.14

Greifswalder FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Benyamina S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Atilgan O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.44
Avg xA / game 0.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eilenburg 75 / 100
Greifswalder FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eilenburg Greifswalder FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eilenburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Eilenburg found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Greifswalder FC has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Eilenburg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Eilenburg VS Greifswalder FC
3.17 Goals Scored 1.5
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 63%
83% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eilenburg

(Home)
25 Sept
Auerbach
3 : 2
Eilenburg
20 Sept
Eilenburg
5 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
12 Sept
Eilenburg
3 : 2
1.FC Frankfurt
29 Aug
Freital
1 : 3
Eilenburg
16 Aug
Eilenburg
1 : 1
Dresden II
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Greifswalder FC

(Away)
25 Sept
BFC Dynamo
1 : 0
Greifswalder FC
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
16 Sept
Rsv Eintracht
1 : 2
Greifswalder FC
13 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 3
Lokomotive Leipzig
30 Aug
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 2
Greifswalder FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 23 3 8 65:30 72
2 Jena 34 22 6 6 65:35 72
3 Zwickau 34 19 7 8 52:44 64
4 Hallescher 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 Erfurt 34 17 10 7 68:47 61
6 Altglienicke 34 14 11 9 50:40 53
7 Chemnitzer 34 14 9 11 56:52 51
8 BFC Preussen 34 14 8 12 50:55 50
9 Magdeburg II 34 15 4 15 61:55 49
10 Luckenwalde 34 11 10 13 36:45 43
11 Babelsberg 34 11 8 15 67:65 41
12 BFC Dynamo 34 10 10 14 45:50 40
13 Chemie Leipzig 34 12 4 18 43:49 40
14 Hertha Berlin II 34 11 7 16 46:60 40
15 Greifswalder FC 34 9 11 14 40:45 38
16 Meuselwitz 34 8 9 17 44:61 33
17 Eilenburg 34 4 11 19 35:68 23
18 Hertha Zehlendorf 34 2 8 24 30:79 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)