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Stadium Background

Eindhoven FC vs Jong PSV - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eindhoven FC host Jong PSV in the Eerste Divisie. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Eindhoven FC have averaged 1.26 scored and 1.84 conceded recently, against Jong PSV's 1.53 scored and 1.6 conceded. Past meetings favor Eindhoven FC slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.63 - 1.88) back Eindhoven FC to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Eindhoven FC
30%
Draws
29%
Jong PSV
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Eindhoven FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jong PSV come out ahead of Eindhoven FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Eindhoven FC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Eindhoven FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Eindhoven FC Clean Sheet 10%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eindhoven FC Jong PSV
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.26 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Eindhoven FC
1:2
Dec 5, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs Jong PSV
4:0
Apr 28, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Eindhoven FC
0:2
Nov 29, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs Jong PSV
1:0
Apr 12, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs Jong PSV
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eindhoven FC 40 / 100
Jong PSV 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eindhoven FC Jong PSV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jong PSV conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Eindhoven FC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Eindhoven FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eindhoven FC VS Jong PSV
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Eindhoven FC

(Home)
09 Oct
Almere City
3 : 0
Eindhoven FC
03 Oct
Eindhoven FC
2 : 2
De Graafschap
26 Sept
NAC Breda
4 : 2
Eindhoven FC
18 Sept
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1
FC Emmen
11 Sept
Eindhoven FC
2 : 1
Dordrecht
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Jong PSV

(Away)
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1
Jong PSV
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong PSV
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1
Jong PSV
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1
Den Bosch
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 10 8 1 1 31:12 25
2 Almere City 10 7 1 2 22:7 22
3 Venlo 10 7 0 3 26:14 21
4 FC Emmen 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 NAC Breda 10 5 2 3 20:19 17
6 Roda 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Maastricht 10 5 1 4 13:20 16
8 FC Volendam 10 5 0 5 22:17 15
9 Waalwijk 10 3 5 2 19:15 14
10 Vitesse 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 10 4 1 5 22:18 13
12 Jong PSV 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
13 TOP Oss 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
14 Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
15 Eindhoven FC 10 3 2 5 15:22 11
16 De Graafschap 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
17 Helmond Sport 10 2 3 5 16:19 9
18 Jong Ajax 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
19 Dordrecht 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
20 Jong Utrecht 10 2 1 7 16:23 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)