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Eindhoven FC vs Vitesse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eindhoven FC host Vitesse in the Eerste Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Eindhoven FC have averaged 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded recently, against Vitesse's 1.63 scored and 1.2 conceded. Past meetings favor Vitesse slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 2, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.94) back Vitesse to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Eindhoven FC
30%
Draws
33%
Vitesse
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Eindhoven FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Eindhoven FC haven't matched Vitesse's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Eindhoven FC a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Eindhoven FC Clean Sheet 10%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eindhoven FC Vitesse
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.3 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Eindhoven FC
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs Vitesse
0:4
Mar 7, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs Vitesse
3:3
Aug 30, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Eindhoven FC
1:1
Dec 22, 2011 KNVB Beker
Eindhoven FC vs Vitesse
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eindhoven FC 38 / 100
Vitesse 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eindhoven FC Vitesse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eindhoven FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eindhoven FC found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Vitesse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Eindhoven FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eindhoven FC VS Vitesse
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Eindhoven FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Eindhoven FC
2 : 2
De Graafschap
26 Sept
NAC Breda
4 : 2
Eindhoven FC
18 Sept
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1
FC Emmen
11 Sept
Eindhoven FC
2 : 1
Dordrecht
07 Sept
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0
Eindhoven FC
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Vitesse

(Away)
03 Oct
Vitesse
2 : 2
NAC Breda
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0
Vitesse
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong PSV
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0
Vitesse
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1
TOP Oss
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 9 7 1 1 28:12 22
2 Almere City 9 6 1 2 19:7 19
3 Venlo 9 6 0 3 23:14 18
4 FC Emmen 9 5 1 3 19:18 16
5 Maastricht 9 5 1 3 13:19 16
6 Roda 9 4 3 2 9:7 15
7 Waalwijk 9 3 5 1 19:12 14
8 Vitesse 9 4 2 3 15:13 14
9 NAC Breda 9 4 2 3 19:19 14
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
11 FC Volendam 9 4 0 5 20:17 12
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
13 Eindhoven FC 9 3 2 4 15:19 11
14 Helmond Sport 9 2 3 4 15:16 9
15 TOP Oss 9 3 0 6 12:14 9
16 Den Bosch 9 2 2 5 13:18 8
17 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
18 Dordrecht 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
19 De Graafschap 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
20 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)