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Eindhoven FC vs Willem II

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Jan Louwers Stadion
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Match Events

16' Event
Haen D.
Assist: El Allouchi M.
19' Event
Verheydt T.
Assist: Haen D.
34'
Renfrum O.

AI Match Summary

Eindhoven FC host Willem II in the Eerste Divisie 2025/2026. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Willem II have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Eindhoven FC have conceded 1.75 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Willem II slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (0.94 - 1.69) back Willem II to edge this. Willem II in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Eindhoven FC
17%
Draws
70%
Willem II
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Willem II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Willem II has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Eindhoven FC.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Willem II.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Eindhoven FC Clean Sheet 13%
Willem II Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eindhoven FC Willem II
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Willem II vs Eindhoven FC
2:2
Jan 18, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs Willem II
0:2
Aug 17, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Willem II vs Eindhoven FC
0:1
Mar 8, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Willem II vs Eindhoven FC
3:0
Aug 13, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs Willem II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eindhoven FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Willem II Compare

Top Goalscorer Haen D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Verheydt T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eindhoven FC 14 / 100
Willem II 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eindhoven FC Willem II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eindhoven FC scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Willem II let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Eindhoven FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Willem II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eindhoven FC VS Willem II
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Den Haag38292790:3789
2Cambuur38239675:4878
3Willem II382081059:4268
4De Graafschap381891174:5863
5Almere City381841678:6358
6Waalwijk3816101271:5958
7Jong PSV381751666:6456
8Roda3814131159:5455
9Den Bosch381491565:6951
10Dordrecht3812111548:5647
11Eindhoven FC381451951:6947
12Jong Utrecht3812101658:6246
13Venlo381361950:5845
14FC Emmen381291758:7245
15Vitesse3815111264:5544
16TOP Oss3811111654:6444
17Jong AZ Alkmaar381242261:7640
18Helmond Sport381091942:6239
19Maastricht389111841:7338
20Jong Ajax38982150:7335