Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ejido vs Huetor Vega

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Antequera I.
16' Event
Linares J.
80' Event
Martin A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 game between Ejido and Huetor Vega finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Huetor Vega.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Ejido
30%
Draws
58%
Huetor Vega
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Huetor Vega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Huetor Vega come out ahead of Ejido on wins alone.
  • Model gives Huetor Vega a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Ejido Clean Sheet 19%
Huetor Vega Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ejido Huetor Vega
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.32
Goals Conceded 2 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ejido vs Huetor Vega
1:3
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Ejido
1:1
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Ejido
1:2
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ejido vs Huetor Vega
0:0
May 10, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Ejido
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ejido Compare

Top Goalscorer Linares J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Huetor Vega Compare

Top Goalscorer Antequera I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ejido 12 / 100
Huetor Vega 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ejido Huetor Vega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huetor Vega Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huetor Vega's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ejido scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Ejido remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Huetor Vega
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ejido

(Home)
11 May
Ejido
1 : 3
El Palo
04 May
Huetor Tajar
1 : 0
Ejido
01 May
Ejido
1 : 2
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
27 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 1
Ejido
13 Apr
Ejido
0 : 3
Motril
Page 1 of 6

Huetor Vega

(Away)
27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3
Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Marbelli
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0
Motril
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0
Martos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 34 26 5 3 76:22 83
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 60:35 73
3 Motril 34 18 7 9 57:35 61
4 Torre del Mar 34 18 7 9 48:30 61
5 Huetor Tajar 34 17 6 11 35:28 57
6 Huetor Vega 34 16 9 9 49:36 57
7 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 14 12 8 53:35 54
8 CD Torreperogil 34 13 11 10 42:37 50
9 Mancha 34 13 7 14 37:39 46
10 Marbelli 34 11 9 14 32:42 42
11 El Palo 34 10 11 13 36:49 41
12 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 10 10 14 43:44 40
13 Arenas Armilla 34 9 11 14 40:49 38
14 Martos 34 11 5 18 28:41 38
15 Atletico de Porcuna 34 9 9 16 45:55 36
16 Ejido 34 7 6 21 36:68 27
17 CP Almeria 34 7 2 25 35:75 23
18 Malaga Juniors 34 5 6 23 31:63 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)