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Ejigbo City vs Nasarawa United

Nigeria Nigeria

Federation Cup
Mon, Jun 1, 2026
0 - 3
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Federation Cup. Nasarawa United are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Ejigbo City at 0 goals for, 3 against; Nasarawa United at 0.75 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Nasarawa United slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 1, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 1.88, favoring Nasarawa United. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ejigbo City
33%
Draws
40%
Nasarawa United
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nasarawa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nasarawa United come out ahead of Ejigbo City on wins alone.
  • Nasarawa United are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Nasarawa United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nasarawa United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ejigbo City Clean Sheet 10%
Nasarawa United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ejigbo City Nasarawa United
Matches Played 1 30
Wins 0 12
Draws 0 6
Losses 1 12
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 3 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Federation Cup
Ejigbo City vs Nasarawa United
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ejigbo City 26 / 100
Nasarawa United 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ejigbo City Nasarawa United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nasarawa United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ejigbo City found the back of the net in 0% of recent matches (1 games).

Nasarawa United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ejigbo City VS Nasarawa United
0 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ejigbo City

(Home)
01 Jun
Ejigbo City
0 : 3
Nasarawa United

Nasarawa United

(Away)
17 Jun
Nasarawa United
1 : 2
Ikorodu City
11 Jun
Nasarawa United
2 : 1
Plateau United
06 Jun
Rivers United
2 : 3
Nasarawa United
01 Jun
Ejigbo City
0 : 3
Nasarawa United
24 May
Barau
3 : 0
Nasarawa United
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Kwara0
Sokoto United1
De Sapele Lion0
Adamawa Utd1
Bendel3
Crown FC1
El Kanemi Warriors2
Akwa United1
Shooting1
Kada Warriors2
Wikki Tourists3
Bayelsa United1
Bida Lions2
Warri Wolves0
Flight FC Gboko2
Mighty Jets1
Rivers United3
Rangers International2
Ejigbo City0
Nasarawa United3
Kogi United0
Plateau United1
Ingas1
Basira2
Ikorodu City2
Jigawa Golden Stars0
Enyimba International1
Gombe0
Sunshine Stars U192
Warinje1
Barau1
Abakaliki0
1/8-finals
Sokoto United2
Adamawa Utd0
Bendel3
El Kanemi Warriors4
Kada Warriors1
Wikki Tourists3
Bida Lions0
Flight FC Gboko1
Rivers United2
Nasarawa United3
Plateau United2
Basira1
Ikorodu City2
Enyimba International1
Sunshine Stars U191
Barau2
Quarter-finals
Sokoto United0
El Kanemi Warriors1
Wikki Tourists2
Flight FC Gboko1
Nasarawa United2
Plateau United1
Ikorodu City3
Barau2
Semi-finals
El Kanemi Warriors3
Wikki Tourists1
Nasarawa United1
Ikorodu City2
Final
El Kanemi Warriors-
Ikorodu City-