Sport Picks

Finland

Ykkosliiga Ekenas Sparbank Arena TN

Ekenas IF

1 - 0

KaPa

Our Tip

Match Events

43'

Lika Y.

60'

Almen A.

65'

Pakkanen R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ykkosliiga game between Ekenas IF and KaPa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ekenas IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Ekenas IF

39%

Draws

30%

KaPa

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and KaPa come out ahead of Ekenas IF on wins alone.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Ekenas IF have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%

Ekenas IF Clean Sheet 17%

KaPa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ekenas IF	KaPa
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	11	13
Draws	3	6
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	1.25	1
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Ykkosliiga

Ekenas IF vs KaPa

Possession: 56% - 60% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Feb 6, 2026 Ykkosliigacup

Ekenas IF vs KaPa

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Sep 26, 2025 Ykkosliiga

Ekenas IF vs KaPa

Possession: 45% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

4:1

Jun 14, 2025 Ykkosliiga

KaPa vs Ekenas IF

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 3 - 0

1:3

Apr 23, 2025 Ykkosliiga

Ekenas IF vs KaPa

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 0 - 4

4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ekenas IF 31 / 100

KaPa 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ekenas IF KaPa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekenas IF scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Defensive concern: KaPa conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

KaPa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ekenas IF VS KaPa

1.25 Goals Scored 1

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	KTP	14	10	2	2	25:14	32
2	PK-35	14	9	3	2	24:8	30
3	Jippo	15	7	6	2	22:11	27
4	Haka	14	7	3	4	24:15	24
5	JaPS	14	6	1	7	13:23	19
6	Mikkelin	15	5	2	8	14:19	17
7	Ekenas IF	14	5	1	8	21:29	16
8	KaPa	13	4	3	6	15:20	15
9	Klubi 04	13	1	5	7	10:16	8
10	SJK Akatemia	14	1	4	9	5:18	7