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Stadium Background

Eker Orebro vs Smedby

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Ibrahimbegovic B.
44' Event
Onoseke-Longadi J.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Gren J.

AI Match Summary

Smedby in this Division 2 - Södra Svealand matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Smedby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Eker Orebro
11%
Draws
80%
Smedby
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Smedby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Smedby have won more games recently than Eker Orebro.
  • Model gives Smedby a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Smedby have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Eker Orebro Clean Sheet 10%
Smedby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eker Orebro Smedby
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Eker Orebro vs Smedby
2:6
Aug 30, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Eker Orebro vs Smedby
0:3
Apr 12, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Eker Orebro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eker Orebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibrahimbegovic B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karlsson F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Smedby Compare

Top Goalscorer Gren J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Frisk C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eker Orebro 10 / 100
Smedby 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eker Orebro Smedby

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Eker Orebro scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.67 goals when they meet.

Smedby let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Away concern: Smedby has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eker Orebro VS Smedby
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nykopings1492327:1229
2Forward1492329:1829
3Haninge1491436:2628
4Farsta1481530:1725
5Sleipner1474326:2625
6Smedby1472529:2123
7Ragsved1464430:2322
8Fittja IF1462627:2720
9Orebro Syrianska1451816:1616
10Lindo FF1451821:2316
11Eker Orebro1442817:3614
12Karlslund1434715:2313
13Syrianska1433820:3512
14Nacka FC14211113:337