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Ekhaya vs Dedza Dynamos

Malawi Malawi

Castel Challenge Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Chima L.
90' Event
Magola G.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Ekhaya
35%
Draws
51%
Dedza Dynamos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dedza Dynamos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ekhaya come out ahead of Dedza Dynamos on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Dedza Dynamos taking it.
  • Ekhaya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dedza Dynamos, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Ekhaya Clean Sheet 25%
Dedza Dynamos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ekhaya Dedza Dynamos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Super League
Ekhaya vs Dedza Dynamos
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Castel Challenge Cup
Ekhaya vs Dedza Dynamos
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 Super League
Ekhaya vs Dedza Dynamos
1:1
Jun 28, 2025 Super League
Dedza Dynamos vs Ekhaya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ekhaya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Dedza Dynamos Compare

Top Goalscorer Chima L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magola G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ekhaya 29 / 100
Dedza Dynamos 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ekhaya Dedza Dynamos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dedza Dynamos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekhaya's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dedza Dynamos let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Ekhaya went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ekhaya VS Dedza Dynamos
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ekhaya

(Home)
06 Sept
Ekhaya
0 : 0
Karonga United
22 Aug
Creck Sporting
3 : 2
Ekhaya
15 Aug
Silver Strikers
3 : 0
Ekhaya
08 Aug
Ekhaya
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
25 Jul
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Ekhaya
Page 1 of 6

Dedza Dynamos

(Away)
09 Sept
Dedza Dynamos
0 : 0
Mitundu Baptist
23 Aug
Silver Strikers
0 : 0
Dedza Dynamos
16 Aug
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 1
Creck Sporting
08 Aug
Ekhaya
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
25 Jul
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 0
Big Bullets
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mighty Tigers 0
Big Bullets 2
Mzuzu City 2
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Ekhaya 0
Dedza Dynamos 2
Chitipa United 1
Blue Eagles 4
Semi-finals
Big Bullets 2
Mzuzu City 0
Dedza Dynamos 4
Blue Eagles 3
Final
Big Bullets 2
Dedza Dynamos 1