Sport Picks

Nigeria

NNL 2023/2024

Coal City

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ekiti United play Coal City in the NNL 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ekiti United averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Coal City averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Ekiti United won 1, Coal City won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 6, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Ekiti United and 1.19 for Coal City. This points to a Coal City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Ekiti United

15%

Draws

43%

Coal City

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coal City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Ekiti United picked up more points recently compared to Coal City.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 60%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Ekiti United Clean Sheet 20%

Coal City Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 54%

Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ekiti United	Coal City
Matches Played	32	23
Wins	13	10
Draws	2	1
Losses	17	12
Goals Scored	0.91	1.09
Goals Conceded	1.19	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2024 NNL

Ekiti United vs Coal City

Possession: 49% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Nov 25, 2023 NNL

Coal City vs Ekiti United

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ekiti United 42 / 100

Coal City 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ekiti United Coal City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Coal City or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ekiti United attacking → ← attacking Coal City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekiti United scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Coal City let in goals in 61% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ekiti United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Coal City lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 31

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Madiba	22	14	4	4	35:14	46
2	Beyond Limits FC	22	11	7	4	39:20	40
3	Edel FC	22	11	4	7	22:19	37
4	Smart City	22	9	6	7	32:23	33
5	Abia Comets	22	8	8	6	23:27	32
6	Coal City	22	10	1	11	24:25	31
7	Dakkada FC	22	7	7	8	22:25	28
8	Rovers FC	22	8	4	10	18:23	28
9	Vandrezzer	22	7	5	10	20:31	26
10	Stormers	22	7	3	12	25:32	24
11	Ekiti United	22	7	3	12	21:32	24
12	1472 FC	22	4	6	12	27:37	18

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ikorodu City	20	10	6	4	29:14	36
2	Inter Lagos	20	11	2	7	34:24	35
3	Osun United	20	8	6	6	17:13	30
4	Ijebu	20	8	5	7	23:21	29
5	Gateway United	20	8	5	7	18:23	29
6	Crown FC	20	8	4	8	23:20	28
7	Warri Wolves	20	8	4	8	21:24	28
8	Solution	20	8	4	8	14:18	28
9	One Rocket	20	7	4	9	16:18	25
10	Giant Brillars	20	6	6	8	20:22	24
11	Tradesafe	20	3	4	13	13:31	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	El Kanemi Warriors	16	10	4	2	20:9	34
2	Nasarawa United	16	10	3	3	20:8	33
3	Wikki Tourists	16	9	5	2	31:12	32
4	Yobe Stars	16	6	5	5	18:17	23
5	Zamfara United	16	5	3	8	15:18	18
6	Mighty Jets	16	3	8	5	15:20	17
7	Nigeria Airforce FC	16	4	3	9	10:16	15
8	ABS	16	2	6	8	5:19	12
9	EFCC FC	16	2	5	9	9:24	11

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sokoto United	12	7	2	3	16:10	23
2	Sporting Supreme	12	6	4	2	18:9	22
3	Adamawa Utd	12	3	6	3	6:9	15
4	Kebbi	12	3	5	4	13:11	14
5	Mailantarki Care	12	3	5	4	11:14	14
6	Jigawa Golden Stars	12	4	2	6	9:14	14
7	City FC Abuja	12	2	4	6	10:16	10
8	Malumfashi	0	0	0	0	0:0	0