Sport Picks

Stadium Background

El-Ahli Atbara vs Al-Khartoum

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

El-Ahli Atbara in this Premier League 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored El-Ahli Atbara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
El-Ahli Atbara
20%
Draws
38%
Al-Khartoum
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: El-Ahli Atbara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • El-Ahli Atbara haven't matched Al-Khartoum's recent run of results.
  • El-Ahli Atbara are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al-Khartoum have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
El-Ahli Atbara Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Khartoum Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El-Ahli Atbara Al-Khartoum
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 4 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2020 Premier League
Al-Khartoum vs El-Ahli Atbara
5:1
Dec 16, 2019 Premier League
El-Ahli Atbara vs Al-Khartoum
1:0
Nov 14, 2017 Premier League
Al-Khartoum vs El-Ahli Atbara
2:1
Apr 30, 2017 Premier League
El-Ahli Atbara vs Al-Khartoum
0:1
Aug 17, 2016 Premier League
El-Ahli Atbara vs Al-Khartoum
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El-Ahli Atbara 42 / 100
Al-Khartoum 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El-Ahli Atbara Al-Khartoum

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Khartoum let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Al-Khartoum's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

El-Ahli Atbara found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Al-Khartoum
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh32235460:1774
2Al-Hilal Omdurman32216562:1969
3Hilal El Obied321610649:2458
4Alamal SC Atbara321411743:2953
5Hay Al Wadi321213729:2249
6Hay al-Arab321471138:4249
7Merreikh El-Fasher321391038:3048
8Al-Khartoum321113830:1846
9Ahli Shendi321351442:3544
10Al-Ahly Merowe321181328:3541
11Ahli Khartoum321091337:4139
12Hilal El-Fasher329101328:3937
13Al Hilal Kadougli327111429:4632
14Al Shorta32881633:5232
15Alfalah Atbra32791629:4830
16Rabita Kosti32752027:5826
17El-Ahli Atbara32452326:7317