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El Alamo vs Aravaca CF

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
El Alamo Logo

El Alamo

1 - 0
FT
Aravaca CF Logo

Aravaca CF

Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Zamorano G.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between El Alamo and Aravaca CF finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Alamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
El Alamo
15%
Draws
51%
Aravaca CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aravaca CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aravaca CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aravaca CF a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
El Alamo Clean Sheet 16%
Aravaca CF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Alamo Aravaca CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.93 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Aravaca CF vs El Alamo
6:1
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Aravaca CF
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Alamo 19 / 100
Aravaca CF 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Alamo Aravaca CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aravaca CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aravaca CF has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

El Alamo's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Aravaca CF registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Alamo VS Aravaca CF
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

El Alamo

(Home)
11 May
El Alamo
3 : 1
Trival Valderas
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1
El Alamo
26 Apr
El Alamo
0 : 1
Mexico
20 Apr
Parla
1 : 0
El Alamo
13 Apr
El Alamo
2 : 2
Villaverde San Andres
Page 1 of 6

Aravaca CF

(Away)
11 May
Carabanchel
1 : 0
Aravaca CF
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1
El Alamo
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2
Aravaca CF
17 Apr
Aravaca CF
1 : 0
Galapagar
13 Apr
Trival Valderas
2 : 1
Aravaca CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)