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El Alamo vs Canillas Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Zamorano G.
74' Event
Holgado I.
85' Event
Zamorano G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between El Alamo and Canillas finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Alamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
El Alamo
15%
Draws
0%
Canillas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: El Alamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • El Alamo have managed 0.93 goals a game lately — Canillas are scoring more at 1.03.
  • El Alamo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
El Alamo Clean Sheet 68%
Canillas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Alamo Canillas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 0.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.9 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Canillas
3:1
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs El Alamo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Alamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamorano G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tiemblo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Canillas Compare

Top Goalscorer Holgado I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Alamo 77 / 100
Canillas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Alamo Canillas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Alamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canillas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Canillas has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

El Alamo's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

El Alamo VS Canillas
1 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

El Alamo

(Home)
11 May
El Alamo
3 : 1
Trival Valderas
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1
El Alamo
26 Apr
El Alamo
0 : 1
Mexico
20 Apr
Parla
1 : 0
El Alamo
13 Apr
El Alamo
2 : 2
Villaverde San Andres
Page 1 of 6

Canillas

(Away)
11 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Canillas
04 May
Canillas
2 : 5
RSD Alcala
27 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 2
Canillas
17 Apr
Canillas
0 : 3
Leganes B
12 Apr
Tres Cantos
3 : 0
Canillas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)