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El Alamo vs Villaverde San Andres Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Gonzalez I.
32' Event
Diaz R.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Viega D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between El Alamo and Villaverde San Andres finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
El Alamo
20%
Draws
40%
Villaverde San Andres
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • El Alamo haven't matched Villaverde San Andres's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans El Alamo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
El Alamo Clean Sheet 20%
Villaverde San Andres Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Alamo Villaverde San Andres
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 14
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.93 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Villaverde San Andres
2:2
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villaverde San Andres vs El Alamo
1:1
Jan 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villaverde San Andres vs El Alamo
1:1
Nov 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Villaverde San Andres
2:0
Jan 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Villaverde San Andres
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Alamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Viega D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Villaverde San Andres Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Alamo 40 / 100
Villaverde San Andres 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Alamo Villaverde San Andres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Alamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: El Alamo scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Villaverde San Andres's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Villaverde San Andres has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Villaverde San Andres
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

El Alamo

(Home)
11 May
El Alamo
3 : 1
Trival Valderas
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1
El Alamo
26 Apr
El Alamo
0 : 1
Mexico
20 Apr
Parla
1 : 0
El Alamo
13 Apr
El Alamo
2 : 2
Villaverde San Andres
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Villaverde San Andres

(Away)
10 May
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 4
San Sebastian Reyes B
03 May
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 4
Villaverde San Andres
26 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 5
CD Las Rozas
19 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 0
Villaverde San Andres
12 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
1 : 1
Galapagar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)