Sport Picks

Tunisia

Tunisia Cup 2017/2018

El Alia Sport

Sun, Dec 3, 2017

1 - 0

12:00 PM

Ahly Sfaxien

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

El Alia Sport in this Tunisia Cup 2017/2018 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

El Alia Sport

30%

Draws

34%

Ahly Sfaxien

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: El Alia Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Ahly Sfaxien have won more games recently than El Alia Sport.
Model gives El Alia Sport a 36% chance of winning this.
Ahly Sfaxien arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor El Alia Sport, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%

El Alia Sport Clean Sheet 20%

Ahly Sfaxien Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	El Alia Sport	Ahly Sfaxien
Matches Played	4	9
Wins	2	3
Draws	0	1
Losses	2	5
Goals Scored	0.75	0.75
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2017 Tunisia Cup

El Alia Sport vs Ahly Sfaxien

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Alia Sport 36 / 100

Ahly Sfaxien 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

El Alia Sport Ahly Sfaxien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Alia Sport's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ahly Sfaxien conceded in 78% of 9 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: El Alia Sport stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Alia Sport VS Ahly Sfaxien

0.75 Goals Scored 0.75

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88

25% Over 1.5 38%

25% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

El Alia Sport

(Home)

30 Jan

Sportive Kebili

2 : 1

El Alia Sport

31 Oct

Borj Amri

0 : 1

El Alia Sport

04 Feb

El Alia Sport

0 : 1

Etoile Sahel

03 Dec

El Alia Sport

1 : 0

Ahly Sfaxien

(Away)

26 Mar

Ahly Sfaxien

1 : 1

Kerkennah

18 May

Ahly Sfaxien

0 : 1

Etoile Sahel

20 Apr

Ahly Sfaxien

3 : 0

Union Ksibet Mediouni

25 Feb

Hammam Djerid

0 : 1

Ahly Sfaxien

22 May

Ahly Sfaxien

0 : 1

Zarzis

Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Rejiche-

TBD-

Olympique Beja0

Sporting Ben Arous1

Soliman1

AS Djerba0

Ariana0

Chebba3

Esperance Tunis-

TBD-

Metlaoui-

Bembla-

TBD-

Hammam-Lif0

Sidi Bouzid1

Djelma-

TBD-

Cheminots-

El Alia Sport-

TBD-

Ahly Sfaxien-

TBD-

Etoile Sahel-

ES El Aloui-

TBD-

Korba0

SS Sfaxien1

TBD-

Stade Gabesien-

Zarzis-

TBD-

Avenir-

TBD-

Moknine-

CO Transports-

TBD-

Dahmani-

Enfida Sports-

TBD-

Stir Zarzouna-

Hamam-Sousse-

Sfax Railways2

AS Marsa1

TBD-

NA Bouhjar-

TBD-

AS Gabes-

US Tataouine3

Jendouba Sport2

TBD-

Douz-

Menzel Bourguiba1

Gafsa0

TBD-

Redeyef-

Menzel Nour-

TBD-

Hammamet-

TBD-

CO Medenine-

Stade Tunisien-

TBD-

Borj Amri-

TBD-

Jeunesse Tebourba-

LPTA Tozeur-

TBD-

Rades-

TBD-

CA Bizertin-

Club Africain-

TBD-

Kasserine1

Kerkennah0

TBD-

Chebika-

JS Kairouan-

TBD-

Sejnane-

TBD-

Sbikha-

Monastir-

TBD-

Baath Bir Mcherga-

TBD-

CS Akouda-

Ben Guerdane-

TBD-

CS Sfaxien-

1/32-finals

Rejiche2

Sporting Ben Arous1

Soliman1

Chebba2

Esperance Tunis-

TBD-

Metlaoui-

Bembla1

Sidi Bouzid0

Djelma0

Cheminots1

El Alia Sport1

Ahly Sfaxien0

TBD-

Etoile Sahel-

ES El Aloui4

SS Sfaxien1

TBD-

Stade Gabesien-

Zarzis-

TBD-

Avenir1

Moknine2

CO Transports1

Dahmani0

Enfida Sports0

Hamam-Sousse1

Sfax Railways3

NA Bouhjar0

TBD-

AS Gabes-

US Tataouine1

Douz0

Menzel Bourguiba0

Redeyef2

Menzel Nour3

Hammamet0

TBD-

CO Medenine-

Stade Tunisien-

TBD-

Borj Amri0

Jeunesse Tebourba1

LPTA Tozeur3

Rades0

TBD-

CA Bizertin-

Club Africain-

TBD-

Kasserine1

Chebika2

JS Kairouan-

TBD-

Sejnane1

Sbikha2

Monastir-

TBD-

Baath Bir Mcherga2

CS Akouda4

Ben Guerdane-

TBD-

CS Sfaxien-

1/16-finals

Rejiche2

Chebba1

Esperance Tunis0

Metlaoui1

Bembla2

Cheminots1

El Alia Sport0

Etoile Sahel1

ES El Aloui3

Stade Gabesien2

Zarzis0

Moknine1

CO Transports2

Hamam-Sousse1

Sfax Railways0

AS Gabes2

US Tataouine3

Redeyef2

Menzel Nour2

CO Medenine3

Stade Tunisien4

Jeunesse Tebourba0

LPTA Tozeur0

CA Bizertin1

Club Africain4

Chebika1

JS Kairouan0

Sbikha1

Monastir3

CS Akouda2

Ben Guerdane0

CS Sfaxien4

1/8-finals

Rejiche1

Metlaoui0

Bembla0

Etoile Sahel2

ES El Aloui2

Moknine1

CO Transports0

AS Gabes1

US Tataouine2

CO Medenine1

Stade Tunisien0

CA Bizertin1

Club Africain3

Sbikha1

Monastir0

CS Sfaxien1

Quarter-finals

Rejiche0

Etoile Sahel5

ES El Aloui0

AS Gabes3

US Tataouine0

CA Bizertin1

Club Africain2

CS Sfaxien1

Semi-finals

Etoile Sahel1

AS Gabes0

CA Bizertin1

Club Africain2

Final

Etoile Sahel1

Club Africain4