Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
El Cotillo in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Cotillo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: El Cotillo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- El Cotillo haven't matched Ibarra's recent run of results.
- Model gives El Cotillo a 49% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Ibarra here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
El Cotillo Clean Sheet 17%
Ibarra Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | El Cotillo | Ibarra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
El Cotillo vs Ibarra
2:1
Oct 27, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs El Cotillo
4:3
May 5, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs El Cotillo
4:0
Dec 16, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
El Cotillo vs Ibarra
1:2
May 6, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs El Cotillo
6:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
El Cotillo 84 / 100
Ibarra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
El Cotillo Ibarra
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick El Cotillo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.80 goals.
El Cotillo found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Ibarra let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.
El Cotillo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Ibarra
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
El Cotillo
(Home) 28 Aug
El Cotillo
1 : 0 Lanzarote
19 May
El Cotillo
2 : 1 CD Marino
12 May
Tacoronte
5 : 3 El Cotillo
05 May
El Cotillo
2 : 0 Atletico Union Guimar
27 Apr
Panaderia
0 : 1 El Cotillo
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28 Aug
El Cotillo
1 : 0 Lanzarote
19 May
El Cotillo
2 : 1 CD Marino
05 May
El Cotillo
2 : 0 Atletico Union Guimar
19 Apr
El Cotillo
0 : 0 Las Palmas C
13 Apr
El Cotillo
1 : 1 Union Viera
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Ibarra
(Away) 24 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0 Ibarra
17 May
Ibarra
1 : 0 Tamaraceite
11 May
Ibarra
3 : 1 Tamaraceite
04 May
Las Palmas B
2 : 0 Ibarra
26 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0 Herbania
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24 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0 Ibarra
04 May
Las Palmas B
2 : 0 Ibarra
17 Apr
San Bartolome
4 : 1 Ibarra
04 Apr
CD Buzanada
2 : 1 Ibarra
23 Mar
Mensajero
2 : 2 Ibarra
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tamaraceite | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 61:33 | 67 |
| 2 | Mensajero | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 61:38 | 64 |
| 3 | Union Viera | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 53:45 | 63 |
| 4 | Tenerife B | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 47:28 | 61 |
| 5 | Lanzarote | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 58:43 | 60 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 45:28 | 59 |
| 7 | Villa Santa Brigida | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 51:38 | 57 |
| 8 | UD San Fernando | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66:59 | 56 |
| 9 | CD Santa Ursula | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 37:36 | 53 |
| 10 | Ibarra | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 43:58 | 52 |
| 11 | Atletico Union Guimar | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 48:49 | 48 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 53:48 | 47 |
| 13 | Tacoronte | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:45 | 45 |
| 14 | CD Buzanada | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 38:50 | 45 |
| 15 | CD La Cuadra | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 43:46 | 45 |
| 16 | SD Tenisca | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:50 | 45 |
| 17 | Panaderia | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 62:68 | 44 |
| 18 | Union Sur Yaiza | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 32:55 | 43 |
| 19 | El Cotillo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39:62 | 41 |
| 20 | Las Zocas | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 37:75 | 35 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
