Sport Picks
El Cotillo vs Mensajero Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 12 2018/2019 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 12 2018/2019 game between El Cotillo and Mensajero finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: El Cotillo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- El Cotillo haven't matched Mensajero's recent run of results.
- Model gives El Cotillo a 49% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
El Cotillo Clean Sheet 18%
Mensajero Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | El Cotillo | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
El Cotillo vs Mensajero
1:1
Sep 2, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs El Cotillo
1:1
Jan 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
El Cotillo vs Mensajero
2:1
Aug 27, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs El Cotillo
2:0
Feb 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
El Cotillo vs Mensajero
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
El Cotillo 40 / 100
Mensajero 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
El Cotillo Mensajero
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick El Cotillo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: El Cotillo scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: El Cotillo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Mensajero's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Mensajero
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
El Cotillo
(Home) 28 Aug
El Cotillo
1 : 0 Lanzarote
19 May
El Cotillo
2 : 1 CD Marino
12 May
Tacoronte
5 : 3 El Cotillo
05 May
El Cotillo
2 : 0 Atletico Union Guimar
27 Apr
Panaderia
0 : 1 El Cotillo
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28 Aug
El Cotillo
1 : 0 Lanzarote
19 May
El Cotillo
2 : 1 CD Marino
05 May
El Cotillo
2 : 0 Atletico Union Guimar
19 Apr
El Cotillo
0 : 0 Las Palmas C
13 Apr
El Cotillo
1 : 1 Union Viera
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Mensajero
(Away) 03 Oct
Villaverde Norte
1 : 2 Mensajero
27 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0 San Miguel
19 Sept
Anaza
1 : 0 Mensajero
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0 Tenerife C
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2 Murcia
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Villaverde Norte
1 : 2 Mensajero
19 Sept
Anaza
1 : 0 Mensajero
16 May
Tamaraceite
2 : 0 Mensajero
03 May
Arucas
0 : 1 Mensajero
19 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
1 : 0 Mensajero
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tamaraceite | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 61:33 | 67 |
| 2 | Mensajero | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 61:38 | 64 |
| 3 | Union Viera | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 53:45 | 63 |
| 4 | Tenerife B | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 47:28 | 61 |
| 5 | Lanzarote | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 58:43 | 60 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 45:28 | 59 |
| 7 | Villa Santa Brigida | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 51:38 | 57 |
| 8 | UD San Fernando | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66:59 | 56 |
| 9 | CD Santa Ursula | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 37:36 | 53 |
| 10 | Ibarra | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 43:58 | 52 |
| 11 | Atletico Union Guimar | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 48:49 | 48 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 53:48 | 47 |
| 13 | Tacoronte | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:45 | 45 |
| 14 | CD Buzanada | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 38:50 | 45 |
| 15 | CD La Cuadra | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 43:46 | 45 |
| 16 | SD Tenisca | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:50 | 45 |
| 17 | Panaderia | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 62:68 | 44 |
| 18 | Union Sur Yaiza | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 32:55 | 43 |
| 19 | El Cotillo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39:62 | 41 |
| 20 | Las Zocas | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 37:75 | 35 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
