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Stadium Background

El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Arenal

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

El Espinar Sant Rafel in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Espinar Sant Rafel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
El Espinar Sant Rafel
22%
Draws
18%
Arenal
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: El Espinar Sant Rafel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to El Espinar Sant Rafel lately — more wins on the board than Arenal.
  • El Espinar Sant Rafel are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • El Espinar Sant Rafel have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
El Espinar Sant Rafel Clean Sheet 20%
Arenal Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Espinar Sant Rafel Arenal
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 8 4
Draws 7 9
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Arenal
3:0
Nov 6, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
0:1
Jan 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Arenal
1:0
Sep 13, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Espinar Sant Rafel 58 / 100
Arenal 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Espinar Sant Rafel Arenal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenal let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: El Espinar Sant Rafel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Arenal has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arenal
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manacor382310551:2379
2UD Poblense38246871:4478
3Constancia38239662:2578
4Binissalem382210663:3076
5Llosetense38236970:4475
6Pena Deportiva381912753:2569
7Santanyi381891153:4363
8El Espinar Sant Rafel381218847:3654
9Mercadal3814101455:4552
10Collerense3812111540:4947
11CD Montuiri381371846:5846
12Ferriolense381281848:5544
13Campos3810141443:5244
14Alcudia3811101743:6143
15Felanitx381191836:5642
16CD Ferrerias3810111741:5141
17Alaior381082035:6138
18Penya Arrabal38832745:7827
19Norteno CF38762524:5627
20Arenal38672532:6625