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El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Soller

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 game between El Espinar Sant Rafel and Soller finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Espinar Sant Rafel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
El Espinar Sant Rafel
30%
Draws
47%
Soller
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Soller

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and El Espinar Sant Rafel come out ahead of Soller on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans El Espinar Sant Rafel's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
El Espinar Sant Rafel Clean Sheet 16%
Soller Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Espinar Sant Rafel Soller
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 5
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 24
Goals Scored 0.97 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.91
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Soller
2:0
Dec 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
2:0
Apr 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
0:0
Dec 15, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Soller
1:1
Mar 2, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Soller
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Espinar Sant Rafel 36 / 100
Soller 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Espinar Sant Rafel Soller

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Soller let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Soller registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

El Espinar Sant Rafel found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

El Espinar Sant Rafel VS Soller
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 4.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

El Espinar Sant Rafel

(Home)
27 Sept
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 5
Prat
01 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 1
Murense
24 Apr
Platges de Calvia
5 : 0
El Espinar Sant Rafel
14 Apr
El Espinar Sant Rafel
2 : 3
Rotlet Molinar
10 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2
El Espinar Sant Rafel
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Soller

(Away)
12 May
Soller
0 : 4
Constancia
05 May
Collerense
4 : 1
Soller
01 May
Soller
3 : 3
Arenal
27 Apr
Binissalem
2 : 1
Soller
21 Apr
Soller
2 : 1
Inter Manacor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 40 32 5 3 105:27 101
2 Manacor 40 26 4 10 74:42 82
3 UD Poblense 40 24 8 8 89:24 80
4 Platges de Calvia 40 22 11 7 56:27 77
5 Llosetense 40 22 9 9 62:36 75
6 Santanyi 40 23 6 11 66:46 75
7 Constancia 40 20 9 11 54:38 69
8 PE Sant Jordi 40 20 8 12 57:46 68
9 Portmany 40 17 11 12 55:51 62
10 Collerense 40 17 7 16 45:49 58
11 Soller 40 16 9 15 46:52 57
12 Binissalem 40 13 12 15 40:44 51
13 Mercadal 40 11 12 17 54:51 45
14 Inter Ibiza 40 12 7 21 51:62 43
15 Rotlet Molinar 40 11 9 20 35:53 42
16 El Espinar Sant Rafel 40 10 10 20 48:64 40
17 Campos 40 10 10 20 38:64 40
18 Felanitx 40 9 11 20 43:65 38
19 Serverense 40 8 7 25 35:74 31
20 Murense 40 5 8 27 31:76 23
21 Son Veri 40 4 3 33 28:121 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 (Play Offs)