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El Gaish vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium, Cairo
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Match Events

16'
Sub
Ojera J. In: Ouled Behi A.
Out: Ojera J.
33'
Gaber M.
60'
Sub
Gaber M. In: Refaat M.
Out: Gaber M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between El Gaish and Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Gaish.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
El Gaish
20%
Draws
47%
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • El Gaish carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
El Gaish Clean Sheet 20%
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Gaish Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 13
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.9 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Premier League
El Gaish vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs El Gaish
2:0
Dec 24, 2025 League Cup
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs El Gaish
0:0
Sep 23, 2025 Premier League
El Gaish vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
0:0
Jun 16, 2024 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs El Gaish
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Gaish Compare

Top Goalscorer Alaa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Gaish 32 / 100
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Gaish Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Gaish found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

El Gaish has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

El Gaish VS Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

El Gaish

(Home)
14 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1
Smouha
07 Sept
Al Qanah
1 : 1
El Gaish
01 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1
ZED FC
26 Aug
Petrojet
2 : 3
El Gaish
22 Aug
El Gaish
1 : 0
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
Page 1 of 6

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)

(Away)
08 Oct
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 0
El Gouna
15 Sept
Wadi Degla
0 : 2
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
09 Sept
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1
Al Ahly
02 Sept
El Gouna
0 : 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
27 Aug
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 3
Al Masry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 5 5 0 0 9:1 15
2 Zamalek 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
3 Al Ahly 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
5 Modern Sport 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Al Ittihad Alexandria 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
7 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Petrojet 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
9 El Gaish 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
10 ZED FC 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
11 Al Qanah 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Al Masry 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
13 National Bank Egypt 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
14 Wadi Degla 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Enppi 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
16 Smouha 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
17 Abu Qir Semad 5 1 0 4 1:8 3
18 El Gouna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Asyut Petroleum 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
20 Ghazl El Mahallah 5 0 1 4 1:9 1
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
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