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El Gaish vs Pharco FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League 2025/2026 Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium, Cairo
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Sub
Yassin H. In: Ghouma A.
Out: Yassin H.
43' Event
Mohareb I.
Assist: Ouro-Agoro I.
46'
Sub
Ndiay A. In: Farhat M.
Out: Ndiay A.

AI Match Summary

El Gaish in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Gaish.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
El Gaish
20%
Draws
40%
Pharco FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to El Gaish lately — more wins on the board than Pharco FC.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
El Gaish Clean Sheet 68%
Pharco FC Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Gaish Pharco FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.9 0.68
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Premier League
El Gaish vs Pharco FC
1:0
Jan 4, 2026 League Cup
El Gaish vs Pharco FC
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 Premier League
Pharco FC vs El Gaish
0:1
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
El Gaish vs Pharco FC
0:0
Dec 12, 2024 League Cup
Pharco FC vs El Gaish
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Gaish Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohareb I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Pharco FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Gaish 41 / 100
Pharco FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Gaish Pharco FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Gaish Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pharco FC let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

El Gaish's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

El Gaish went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

El Gaish VS Pharco FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

El Gaish

(Home)
14 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1
Smouha
07 Sept
Al Qanah
1 : 1
El Gaish
01 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1
ZED FC
26 Aug
Petrojet
2 : 3
El Gaish
22 Aug
El Gaish
1 : 0
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
Page 1 of 6

Pharco FC

(Away)
01 Oct
Pharco FC
0 : 1
Tersana
24 Sept
Kahrabaa Ismailia
3 : 1
Pharco FC
18 Sept
Pharco FC
2 : 1
Delta United
10 Sept
Pharco FC
2 : 1
Baladiyat El Mahalla
04 Sept
El Daklyeh
0 : 0
Pharco FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
8 Wadi Degla 13 6 6 1 19:9 53
9 ZED FC 13 5 5 3 18:15 49
10 National Bank Egypt 13 6 4 3 20:16 48
11 El Gouna 13 4 6 3 10:9 46
12 Petrojet 13 5 5 3 18:15 45
13 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 13 4 8 1 15:10 38
14 Ghazl El Mahallah 13 4 7 2 15:11 38
15 Modern Sport 13 2 8 3 8:10 37
16 El Gaish 13 4 3 6 7:10 37
17 Al Ittihad Alexandria 13 3 7 3 14:14 36
18 Kahrabaa Ismailia 13 3 7 3 13:16 32
19 Haras El Hodood 13 1 6 6 11:19 26
20 Pharco FC 13 2 4 7 7:13 25
21 El Ismaily 13 1 6 6 4:12 20
Relegation - Division 2 A (Main)