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El Gouna vs Asyut Petroleum Prediction & H2H Stats

Egypt Egypt

Egypt Cup Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
El Gouna Logo

El Gouna

2 - 1
FT
Asyut Petroleum Logo

Asyut Petroleum

Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Abdelrasoul A.
67' Event
El Nahas M.
80' Event
Kamal M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
El Gouna
35%
Draws
32%
Asyut Petroleum
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Asyut Petroleum lately — more wins on the board than El Gouna.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Asyut Petroleum arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor El Gouna, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 68%
Asyut Petroleum Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Gouna Asyut Petroleum
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 13 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.84 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2025 Egypt Cup
El Gouna vs Asyut Petroleum
2:1
May 4, 2023 Division 2 - Group A
El Gouna vs Asyut Petroleum
1:0
Dec 8, 2022 Division 2 - Group A
Asyut Petroleum vs El Gouna
1:0
Sep 21, 2011 Egypt Cup
El Gouna vs Asyut Petroleum
4:3
Feb 8, 2010 Premier League
El Gouna vs Asyut Petroleum
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Gouna Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdelrasoul A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Nahas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Asyut Petroleum Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamal M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Gouna 41 / 100
Asyut Petroleum 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Gouna Asyut Petroleum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Gouna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Gouna's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Asyut Petroleum's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Asyut Petroleum lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Gouna VS Asyut Petroleum
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

El Gouna

(Home)
16 Sept
El Gouna
1 : 2
Petrojet
09 Sept
Pyramids
1 : 0
El Gouna
02 Sept
El Gouna
0 : 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
28 Aug
Al Qanah
1 : 1
El Gouna
23 Aug
El Gouna
1 : 1
Modern Sport
Page 1 of 7

Asyut Petroleum

(Away)
15 Sept
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 2
Modern Sport
07 Sept
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
31 Aug
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 1
National Bank Egypt
26 Aug
Smouha
0 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
22 Aug
Asyut Petroleum
1 : 1
Petrojet
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Petrojet 1
Wadi Degla 0
Modern Sport 1
Al Qanah 0
El Gouna 2
Asyut Petroleum 1
Pyramids 2
Masar 0
Al Ahly 1
WE Sports Club 2
Pharco FC 2
Telephonaat Beni Suef 0
National Bank Egypt 4
Bur Fouad 1
Enppi 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 0
Zamalek 1
Baladiyat El Mahalla 0
Ceramica Cleopatra 2
Abu Qir Semad 0
El Gaish 2
Al Sekka 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria 0
Kahrabaa Ismailia 1
Haras El Hodood 3
El Ismaily 1
Smouha 3
Ghazl El Mahallah 1
ZED FC 1
Alo Egypt 0
Al Masry 4
Dekernes 2
1/8-finals
Petrojet 2
Modern Sport 1
El Gouna 0
Pyramids 3
WE Sports Club 2
Pharco FC 1
National Bank Egypt 0
Enppi 1
Zamalek 1
Ceramica Cleopatra 2
El Gaish 2
Kahrabaa Ismailia 1
Haras El Hodood 2
Smouha 1
ZED FC 1
Al Masry 0
Quarter-finals
Petrojet 0
Pyramids 2
WE Sports Club 0
Enppi 2
Ceramica Cleopatra 0
El Gaish 1
Haras El Hodood 1
ZED FC 2
Semi-finals
Pyramids 4
Enppi 0
El Gaish 1
ZED FC 3
Final
Pyramids 2
ZED FC 1