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Stadium Background

El Gouna vs El Gaish

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Khaled Bichara Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Emad M.
25'
Alaa A.
38' Event
Mostafa Y.
Assist: Zola A.

AI Match Summary

El Gouna in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Gouna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
El Gouna
33%
Draws
27%
El Gaish
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: El Gouna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to El Gaish lately — more wins on the board than El Gouna.
  • Model gives El Gouna a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 68%
El Gaish Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Gouna El Gaish
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 12 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Premier League
El Gouna vs El Gaish
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League
El Gaish vs El Gouna
0:1
May 11, 2025 Premier League
El Gouna vs El Gaish
0:1
Feb 7, 2025 Premier League
El Gaish vs El Gouna
0:0
May 21, 2024 Premier League
El Gouna vs El Gaish
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Gouna Compare

Top Goalscorer Karim A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

El Gaish Compare

Top Goalscorer Mostafa Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Gouna 50 / 100
El Gaish 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Gouna El Gaish

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: El Gouna scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

El Gouna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: El Gaish has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

El Gaish's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

El Gouna VS El Gaish
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
8Wadi Degla1366119:953
9ZED FC1355318:1549
10National Bank Egypt1364320:1648
11El Gouna1346310:946
12Petrojet1355318:1545
13Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)1348115:1038
14Ghazl El Mahallah1347215:1138
15Modern Sport132838:1037
16El Gaish134367:1037
17Al Ittihad Alexandria1337314:1436
18Kahrabaa Ismailia1337313:1632
19Haras El Hodood1316611:1926
20Pharco FC132477:1325
21El Ismaily131664:1220