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El Gouna vs Modern Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Khaled Bichara Stadium, El Gouna
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Taalab A.
61'
Sub
Gamal A. In: Salah R.
Out: Gamal A.
66'
Sub
Mostafa A. In: Sabry M.
Out: Mostafa A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between El Gouna and Modern Sport finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
El Gouna
15%
Draws
78%
Modern Sport
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Modern Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • El Gouna have managed 0.81 goals a game lately — Modern Sport are scoring more at 0.83.
  • Win probability leans Modern Sport's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 22%
Modern Sport Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Gouna Modern Sport
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 13 12
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.81 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Premier League
El Gouna vs Modern Sport
1:1
Apr 14, 2026 Premier League
Modern Sport vs El Gouna
0:0
Feb 6, 2026 Premier League
El Gouna vs Modern Sport
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 League Cup
Modern Sport vs El Gouna
0:2
May 7, 2025 Premier League
El Gouna vs Modern Sport
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Gouna Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaki A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Modern Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamdouh M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Gouna 10 / 100
Modern Sport 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Gouna Modern Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modern Sport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Gouna's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Modern Sport conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

El Gouna has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

El Gouna VS Modern Sport
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

El Gouna

(Home)
08 Oct
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 0
El Gouna
16 Sept
El Gouna
1 : 2
Petrojet
09 Sept
Pyramids
1 : 0
El Gouna
02 Sept
El Gouna
0 : 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
28 Aug
Al Qanah
1 : 1
El Gouna
Page 1 of 7

Modern Sport

(Away)
08 Oct
Modern Sport
2 : 0
National Bank Egypt
15 Sept
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 2
Modern Sport
09 Sept
Modern Sport
2 : 1
Wadi Degla
02 Sept
Ceramica Cleopatra
2 : 0
Modern Sport
27 Aug
Modern Sport
2 : 0
Ghazl El Mahallah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 5 5 0 0 9:1 15
2 Zamalek 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
3 Al Ahly 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
5 Modern Sport 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Al Ittihad Alexandria 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
7 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Petrojet 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
9 El Gaish 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
10 ZED FC 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
11 Al Qanah 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Al Masry 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
13 National Bank Egypt 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
14 Wadi Degla 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Enppi 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
16 Smouha 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
17 Abu Qir Semad 5 1 0 4 1:8 3
18 El Gouna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Asyut Petroleum 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
20 Ghazl El Mahallah 5 0 1 4 1:9 1
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group)