Sport Picks

Stadium Background

El Gouna vs Petrojet

Egypt Egypt

League Cup Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
El Shimi S.
26' Event
El Shimi S.
Own Goal
38'
Khaled A.

AI Match Summary

Petrojet in this League Cup tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
El Gouna
39%
Draws
30%
Petrojet
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • El Gouna haven't matched Petrojet's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Petrojet arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Petrojet, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 22%
Petrojet Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Gouna Petrojet
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 12 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Premier League
Petrojet vs El Gouna
1:2
Jan 6, 2026 League Cup
El Gouna vs Petrojet
1:3
Sep 17, 2025 Premier League
El Gouna vs Petrojet
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 League Cup
Petrojet vs El Gouna
1:0
Dec 26, 2024 Premier League
Petrojet vs El Gouna
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Gouna Compare

Top Goalscorer Ojo T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Petrojet Compare

Top Goalscorer El Badry M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Gouna 32 / 100
Petrojet 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Gouna Petrojet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: El Gouna scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Petrojet let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

El Gouna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Gouna VS Petrojet
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

El Gouna

(Home)
28 May
Petrojet
1 : 2
El Gouna
22 May
El Gouna
2 : 1
El Gaish
17 May
National Bank Egypt
1 : 1
El Gouna
12 May
El Gouna
0 : 1
Kahrabaa Ismailia
08 May
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 0
El Gouna
Page 1 of 7

Petrojet

(Away)
28 May
Petrojet
1 : 2
El Gouna
23 May
Haras El Hodood
0 : 3
Petrojet
17 May
Petrojet
1 : 1
Modern Sport
13 May
National Bank Egypt
2 : 3
Petrojet
08 May
Petrojet
2 : 2
Wadi Degla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Gaish64117:313
2Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)63219:511
3Enppi63127:510
4Pharco FC63038:109
5Ghazl El Mahallah62224:48
6Al Ahly62047:96
7Ceramica Cleopatra61052:83
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrojet650115:515
2El Gouna641110:513
3Wadi Degla631212:610
4National Bank Egypt614111:77
5El Ismaily61235:75
6Modern Sport61233:75
7Pyramids61053:223
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Masry63215:311
2ZED FC63126:410
3Al Ittihad Alexandria61505:28
4Kahrabaa Ismailia615012:118
5Smouha62224:58
6Zamalek62137:97
7Haras El Hodood60244:92
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams