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El Ismaily vs El Gaish

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Ismailia Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Khaled Ramadan In: Mostafa Y.
Out: Khaled Ramadan
46'
Sub
Mansour H. In: El Nagaawy I.
Out: Mansour H.
46'
Sub
Omran R. In: Keita A.
Out: Omran R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
El Ismaily
44%
Draws
20%
El Gaish
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • El Gaish have won more games recently than El Ismaily.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
El Ismaily Clean Sheet 28%
El Gaish Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Ismaily El Gaish
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Premier League
El Ismaily vs El Gaish
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Premier League
El Gaish vs El Ismaily
0:1
May 20, 2025 League Cup
El Gaish vs El Ismaily
0:1
Apr 23, 2025 League Cup
El Ismaily vs El Gaish
0:0
Mar 13, 2025 Premier League
El Gaish vs El Ismaily
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Ismaily 38 / 100
El Gaish 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Ismaily El Gaish

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: El Gaish registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

El Ismaily found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: El Gaish conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

El Ismaily VS El Gaish
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
8Wadi Degla1366119:953
9ZED FC1355318:1549
10National Bank Egypt1364320:1648
11El Gouna1346310:946
12Petrojet1355318:1545
13Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)1348115:1038
14Ghazl El Mahallah1347215:1138
15Modern Sport132838:1037
16El Gaish134367:1037
17Al Ittihad Alexandria1337314:1436
18Kahrabaa Ismailia1337313:1632
19Haras El Hodood1316611:1926
20Pharco FC132477:1325
21El Ismaily131664:1220