Sport Picks

Stadium Background

El Ismaily vs Modern Sport

Egypt Egypt

Premier League 2025/2026 Ismailia Stadium, Ismailia
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ammar M.
Own Goal
46'
Sub
Samiae M. In: Samir M.
Out: Samiae M.
46'
Sub
El Metwaly R. In: Mohamed G.
Out: El Metwaly R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between El Ismaily and Modern Sport finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Modern Sport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
El Ismaily
30%
Draws
47%
Modern Sport
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Modern Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Modern Sport carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
El Ismaily Clean Sheet 17%
Modern Sport Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Ismaily Modern Sport
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 11 13
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.55 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Premier League
El Ismaily vs Modern Sport
0:2
Jan 29, 2026 Premier League
Modern Sport vs El Ismaily
1:0
Jan 1, 2026 League Cup
El Ismaily vs Modern Sport
0:0
May 16, 2025 Premier League
El Ismaily vs Modern Sport
1:2
Jan 1, 2025 Premier League
Modern Sport vs El Ismaily
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Ismaily Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Modern Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Eba A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Ismaily 36 / 100
Modern Sport 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Ismaily Modern Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modern Sport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

El Ismaily went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

El Ismaily's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Modern Sport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

El Ismaily VS Modern Sport
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

El Ismaily

(Home)
25 Sept
Delta United
2 : 3
El Ismaily
17 Sept
El Ismaily
0 : 2
Haras El Hodood
11 Sept
El-Entag El-Harby
1 : 1
El Ismaily
04 Sept
El Ismaily
1 : 1
Al Nasr Cairo
28 Aug
WE Sports Club
2 : 1
El Ismaily
Page 1 of 6

Modern Sport

(Away)
15 Sept
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 2
Modern Sport
09 Sept
Modern Sport
2 : 1
Wadi Degla
02 Sept
Ceramica Cleopatra
2 : 0
Modern Sport
27 Aug
Modern Sport
2 : 0
Ghazl El Mahallah
23 Aug
El Gouna
1 : 1
Modern Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
8 Wadi Degla 13 6 6 1 19:9 53
9 ZED FC 13 5 5 3 18:15 49
10 National Bank Egypt 13 6 4 3 20:16 48
11 El Gouna 13 4 6 3 10:9 46
12 Petrojet 13 5 5 3 18:15 45
13 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 13 4 8 1 15:10 38
14 Ghazl El Mahallah 13 4 7 2 15:11 38
15 Modern Sport 13 2 8 3 8:10 37
16 El Gaish 13 4 3 6 7:10 37
17 Al Ittihad Alexandria 13 3 7 3 14:14 36
18 Kahrabaa Ismailia 13 3 7 3 13:16 32
19 Haras El Hodood 13 1 6 6 11:19 26
20 Pharco FC 13 2 4 7 7:13 25
21 El Ismaily 13 1 6 6 4:12 20
Relegation - Division 2 A (Main)