Sport Picks

Stadium Background

El Ismaily vs Modern Sport

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Ismailia Stadium, Ismailia
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ammar M.
Own Goal
46'
Sub
Samiae M. In: Samir M.
Out: Samiae M.
46'
Sub
El Metwaly R. In: Mohamed G.
Out: El Metwaly R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between El Ismaily and Modern Sport finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Modern Sport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
El Ismaily
44%
Draws
20%
Modern Sport
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Modern Sport carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
El Ismaily Clean Sheet 26%
Modern Sport Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Ismaily Modern Sport
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 9 15
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Premier League
El Ismaily vs Modern Sport
0:2
Jan 29, 2026 Premier League
Modern Sport vs El Ismaily
1:0
Jan 1, 2026 League Cup
El Ismaily vs Modern Sport
0:0
May 16, 2025 Premier League
El Ismaily vs Modern Sport
1:2
Jan 1, 2025 Premier League
Modern Sport vs El Ismaily
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Ismaily Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Modern Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Eba A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Ismaily 38 / 100
Modern Sport 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Ismaily Modern Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

El Ismaily scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Modern Sport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: El Ismaily stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Ismaily VS Modern Sport
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

El Ismaily

(Home)
28 May
El Ismaily
1 : 2
Pharco FC
23 May
Al Ittihad Alexandria
3 : 0
El Ismaily
17 May
El Ismaily
0 : 0
ZED FC
12 May
Wadi Degla
2 : 1
El Ismaily
07 May
National Bank Egypt
0 : 0
El Ismaily
Page 1 of 6

Modern Sport

(Away)
29 May
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
3 : 1
Modern Sport
23 May
Modern Sport
0 : 0
Ghazl El Mahallah
17 May
Petrojet
1 : 1
Modern Sport
12 May
Pharco FC
0 : 1
Modern Sport
08 May
Modern Sport
0 : 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
8Wadi Degla1366119:953
9ZED FC1355318:1549
10National Bank Egypt1364320:1648
11El Gouna1346310:946
12Petrojet1355318:1545
13Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)1348115:1038
14Ghazl El Mahallah1347215:1138
15Modern Sport132838:1037
16El Gaish134367:1037
17Al Ittihad Alexandria1337314:1436
18Kahrabaa Ismailia1337313:1632
19Haras El Hodood1316611:1926
20Pharco FC132477:1325
21El Ismaily131664:1220
Relegation - Division 2 A (Main)