Sport Picks

Stadium Background

El Ismaily vs Wadi Degla

Egypt Egypt

League Cup Borg El Arab Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

El Ismaily play Wadi Degla in the League Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, El Ismaily averaged 0.25 goals scored and 1 conceded. Wadi Degla averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, El Ismaily won 0, Wadi Degla won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for El Ismaily and 1.44 for Wadi Degla. This points to a Wadi Degla double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
El Ismaily
17%
Draws
70%
Wadi Degla
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Wadi Degla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Wadi Degla has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to El Ismaily.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Wadi Degla.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in League Cup provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
El Ismaily Clean Sheet 16%
Wadi Degla Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Ismaily Wadi Degla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Premier League
Wadi Degla vs El Ismaily
2:1
Feb 20, 2026 Premier League
El Ismaily vs Wadi Degla
1:2
Jan 17, 2026 League Cup
El Ismaily vs Wadi Degla
1:2
Aug 20, 2021 Premier League
El Ismaily vs Wadi Degla
0:2
Mar 5, 2021 Premier League
Wadi Degla vs El Ismaily
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Ismaily Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdelsalam A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Wadi Degla Compare

Top Goalscorer Teka S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oya Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Ismaily 15 / 100
Wadi Degla 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Ismaily Wadi Degla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Ismaily scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Wadi Degla let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

El Ismaily went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Wadi Degla lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Ismaily VS Wadi Degla
0.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Gaish64117:313
2Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)63219:511
3Enppi63127:510
4Pharco FC63038:109
5Ghazl El Mahallah62224:48
6Al Ahly62047:96
7Ceramica Cleopatra61052:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrojet650115:515
2El Gouna641110:513
3Wadi Degla631212:610
4National Bank Egypt614111:77
5El Ismaily61235:75
6Modern Sport61233:75
7Pyramids61053:223
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Masry63215:311
2ZED FC63126:410
3Al Ittihad Alexandria61505:28
4Kahrabaa Ismailia615012:118
5Smouha62224:58
6Zamalek62137:97
7Haras El Hodood60244:92