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El Kanemi Warriors vs Sunshine Stars

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL 2024/2025 El-Kanemi Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Barnabas D.

AI Match Summary

The NPFL 2024/2025 game between El Kanemi Warriors and Sunshine Stars finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Kanemi Warriors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
El Kanemi Warriors
44%
Draws
20%
Sunshine Stars
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Sunshine Stars haven't matched El Kanemi Warriors's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
El Kanemi Warriors Clean Sheet 16%
Sunshine Stars Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Kanemi Warriors Sunshine Stars
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 NPFL
El Kanemi Warriors vs Sunshine Stars
1:0
Dec 21, 2024 NPFL
Sunshine Stars vs El Kanemi Warriors
1:0
Sep 26, 2018 Federation Cup
Sunshine Stars vs El Kanemi Warriors
1:1
Sep 5, 2018 NPFL
El Kanemi Warriors vs Sunshine Stars
0:0
Jan 31, 2018 NPFL
Sunshine Stars vs El Kanemi Warriors
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Kanemi Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Barnabas D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Sunshine Stars Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Kanemi Warriors 36 / 100
Sunshine Stars 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Kanemi Warriors Sunshine Stars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunshine Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

El Kanemi Warriors went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

El Kanemi Warriors's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

El Kanemi Warriors VS Sunshine Stars
0.63 Goals Scored 1.2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.6
88% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 40%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Remo Stars382251149:3171
2Rivers United3818101035:2964
3Abia Warriors381861443:4060
4Ikorodu City381781360:4559
5Bendel3815111239:3356
6Enyimba International3814131138:3555
7Plateau United381691340:3854
8Shooting381591439:3854
9Kano Pillars381581544:4553
10Rangers International3814101442:3452
11Bayelsa United3813131239:3652
12Nasarawa United3814101440:4152
13Niger Tornadoes381491540:4651
14Kwara381481638:3650
15Katsina Utd381481630:3650
16El Kanemi Warriors3812131334:4149
17Heartland FC3812121433:3448
18Akwa United381281835:3944
19Sunshine Stars381181934:5141
20Lobi386102229:5628