Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EL Nacional vs Dep. Santo Domingo

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between EL Nacional and Dep. Santo Domingo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
EL Nacional
28%
Draws
50%
Dep. Santo Domingo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Dep. Santo Domingo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • EL Nacional haven't matched Dep. Santo Domingo's recent run of results.
  • Dep. Santo Domingo are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
EL Nacional Clean Sheet 19%
Dep. Santo Domingo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EL Nacional Dep. Santo Domingo
Matches Played 32 25
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.38 0.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 Serie B
EL Nacional vs Dep. Santo Domingo
0:0
Apr 10, 2026 Serie B
Dep. Santo Domingo vs EL Nacional
1:1
Sep 4, 2024 Copa Ecuador
Dep. Santo Domingo vs EL Nacional
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EL Nacional 24 / 100
Dep. Santo Domingo 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EL Nacional Dep. Santo Domingo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EL Nacional's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Dep. Santo Domingo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: EL Nacional stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EL Nacional VS Dep. Santo Domingo
0.38 Goals Scored 0.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1787219:1131
2Atletico FC1779121:1330
3CD Cuenca Juniors1785419:1829
4Independiente Juniors1777318:1128
5Vinotinto1775523:1426
6Cumbaya1757519:1622
7San Antonio1748520:2020
8Dep. Santo Domingo1757513:1219
9LDU Portoviejo1754814:2119
10Gualaceo1666413:1018
1122 de Julio1633108:226
12EL Nacional17041310:291