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EL Nacional vs Gualaceo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
EL Nacional Logo

EL Nacional

0 - 0
FT
Gualaceo Logo

Gualaceo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
EL Nacional
15%
Draws
53%
Gualaceo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gualaceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Gualaceo have won more games recently than EL Nacional.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on EL Nacional taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
EL Nacional Clean Sheet 15%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EL Nacional Gualaceo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.66 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs EL Nacional
3:0
Jul 24, 2026 Serie B
EL Nacional vs Gualaceo
0:0
May 2, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs EL Nacional
2:0
Nov 12, 2023 Liga Pro
EL Nacional vs Gualaceo
4:2
Jun 4, 2023 Liga Pro
Gualaceo vs EL Nacional
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EL Nacional 41 / 100
Gualaceo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EL Nacional Gualaceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: EL Nacional scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Gualaceo conceded in 41% of 29 recent games.

EL Nacional went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EL Nacional VS Gualaceo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

EL Nacional

(Home)
07 Oct
22 de Julio
2 : 5
EL Nacional
03 Oct
LDU Portoviejo
3 : 2
EL Nacional
26 Sept
EL Nacional
0 : 3
Cumbaya
18 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
1 : 0
EL Nacional
12 Sept
EL Nacional
3 : 0
22 de Julio
Page 1 of 6

Gualaceo

(Away)
03 Oct
Gualaceo
4 : 2
22 de Julio
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)