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El Palo vs CD Ronda

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

El Palo play CD Ronda in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2015/2016. El Palo are favorites here. Recently, El Palo averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. CD Ronda averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, El Palo won 5, CD Ronda won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 3, 2016 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for El Palo and 1.31 for CD Ronda. This points to a El Palo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
El Palo
28%
Draws
22%
CD Ronda
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: El Palo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • El Palo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to CD Ronda.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for El Palo.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 9 2015/2016 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
El Palo Clean Sheet 18%
CD Ronda Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Palo CD Ronda
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 0
Losses 18 25
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Ronda vs El Palo
0:1
Nov 14, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs CD Ronda
2:0
Apr 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Ronda vs El Palo
1:3
Nov 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs CD Ronda
3:1
Mar 10, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Ronda vs El Palo
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Palo 49 / 100
CD Ronda 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Palo CD Ronda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Palo scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

CD Ronda let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

El Palo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CD Ronda lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Palo VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mancha38275673:2586
2Malaga B38268496:3486
3Loja38249568:2681
4Ejido38247777:3279
5El Palo382113469:2476
6Antequera38218967:3371
7Guadix382241268:4670
8Velez381811955:3365
9Huetor Tajar3816111160:3759
10Martos381751658:5556
11UD San Pedro381461855:6748
12Los Villares3811111646:5744
13Rincon3810111748:5941
14Alhaurin381242242:6740
15Atarfe Industrial38992045:7136
16Maracena388121848:6936
17River Melilla38952444:8832
18Comarca Del Marmol387102130:6231
19CD Ronda38803032:9724
20Espanol Alquian38113611:1104