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El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa

USA USA

USL Championship Southwest University Park, El Paso, TX
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Gabriel Torres
27'
Cabral R.
40'
Ian

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between El Paso Locomotive and FC Tulsa finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Tulsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
El Paso Locomotive
30%
Draws
34%
FC Tulsa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: El Paso Locomotive

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Tulsa come out ahead of El Paso Locomotive on wins alone.
  • Model gives El Paso Locomotive a 36% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 18%
FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Paso Locomotive FC Tulsa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive
1:0
Apr 30, 2026 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa
1:4
Oct 19, 2025 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa
1:1
May 11, 2025 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Paso Locomotive Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Tulsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabral R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pierre N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Paso Locomotive 36 / 100
FC Tulsa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Paso Locomotive FC Tulsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: El Paso Locomotive scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: FC Tulsa conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

El Paso Locomotive has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

El Paso Locomotive VS FC Tulsa
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

El Paso Locomotive

(Home)
26 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 0
Sporting Jax
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
El Paso Locomotive
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2
New Mexico
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2
El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Monterey Bay
1 : 0
El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 6

FC Tulsa

(Away)
26 Jul
FC Tulsa
0 : 0
Lexington
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
El Paso Locomotive
12 Jul
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1
FC Tulsa
21 Jun
FC Tulsa
1 : 2
Colorado Springs
18 Jun
FC Tulsa
2 : 0
Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay17105228:1535
2Charleston1783632:2427
3Detroit City1683523:1527
4Louisville City1673626:2524
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds1672719:1923
6Rhode Island1564525:1822
7Indy Eleven1563618:1721
8Miami FC1856722:2921
9Hartford Athletic1648412:1420
10Loudoun United1629519:2915
11Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
12Brooklyn FC1634917:2713
13Sporting Jax18151223:468
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1787227:1931
2San Antonio FC1777322:1928
3Colorado Springs1674528:2325
4New Mexico1473419:1524
5Sacramento Republic1565419:1523
6FC Tulsa1565418:1623
7Lexington1664624:2022
8El Paso Locomotive1664627:2522
9Las Vegas Lights1663724:2621
10Phoenix Rising1756623:2421
11Oakland Roots1756625:2721
12Monterey Bay17431017:2715
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)