Sport Picks
El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights
USA
USL Championship Southwest University Park, El Paso, TX 
Match Events
7'
7'
Moreno A.
Assist: Coronado R.
23'
23'
Pinzon C.
Assist: Mines B.
34'
34'
Rubin R.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between El Paso Locomotive and Las Vegas Lights finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Paso Locomotive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- El Paso Locomotive carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and El Paso Locomotive have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 17%
Las Vegas Lights Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | El Paso Locomotive | Las Vegas Lights |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2026 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights
3:2
Aug 3, 2025 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights
6:0
May 25, 2025 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive
1:2
Jul 13, 2024 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
El Paso Locomotive Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreno A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rubin R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Las Vegas Lights Compare
Top Goalscorer Pinzon C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rodriguez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
El Paso Locomotive 31 / 100
Las Vegas Lights 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
El Paso Locomotive Las Vegas Lights
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
El Paso Locomotive scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Las Vegas Lights let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: El Paso Locomotive remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
El Paso Locomotive VS Las Vegas Lights
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
El Paso Locomotive
(Home) 19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2 New Mexico
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Monterey Bay
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
14 Jun
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2 New Mexico
14 Jun
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
31 May
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 4 Lexington
28 May
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 0 AV Alta FC
30 Apr
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 4 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 3
Las Vegas Lights
(Away) 19 Jul
San Antonio FC
1 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
12 Jul
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Las Vegas Lights
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Las Vegas Lights
2 : 3 Orange County SC
14 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
San Antonio FC
1 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
12 Jul
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Las Vegas Lights
14 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
17 May
Spokane Velocity
1 : 0 Las Vegas Lights
10 May
New Mexico
3 : 1 Las Vegas Lights
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 25:13 | 32 |
| 2 | Charleston | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 31:22 | 27 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19:18 | 23 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Miami FC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:24 | 21 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:26 | 13 |
| 12 | Loudoun United | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 18:29 | 12 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 23:44 | 8 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:18 | 28 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 21:19 | 25 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | 22 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24:22 | 21 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 20 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Paso Locomotive | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 19 |
| 10 | Lexington | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23:26 | 18 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:25 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)