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El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Southwest University Park, El Paso, TX
El Paso Locomotive Logo

El Paso Locomotive

2 - 1
FT
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Logo

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Amann T. In: Tsukanome Y.
Out: Amann T.
53' Event
Mertz R.
Assist: Ahl C.
57' Event
Calvillo E.
Assist: Ortiz A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

El Paso Locomotive in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Paso Locomotive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
El Paso Locomotive
20%
Draws
33%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: El Paso Locomotive

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • El Paso Locomotive have won more games recently than Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
  • Win probability leans El Paso Locomotive's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 68%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Paso Locomotive Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs El Paso Locomotive
2:0
Apr 23, 2023 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2:0
May 14, 2022 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs El Paso Locomotive
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Paso Locomotive Compare

Top Goalscorer Calvillo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dollenmayer N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Compare

Top Goalscorer Mertz R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Paso Locomotive 50 / 100
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Paso Locomotive Pittsburgh Riverhounds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Paso Locomotive Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Paso Locomotive scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

El Paso Locomotive went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Paso Locomotive VS Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

El Paso Locomotive

(Home)
11 Oct
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 1
Orange County SC
03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1
El Paso Locomotive
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1
FC Tulsa
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3
El Paso Locomotive
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2
El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 6

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

(Away)
10 Oct
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 : 1
Hartford Athletic
27 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
19 Sept
Detroit City
1 : 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0
Loudoun United
06 Sept
Miami FC
2 : 2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 28 16 7 5 49:26 55
2 Detroit City 28 14 8 6 34:20 50
3 Charleston 27 14 4 9 52:33 46
4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 28 12 5 11 30:28 41
5 Louisville City 27 11 7 9 45:42 40
6 Hartford Athletic 27 9 12 6 30:28 39
7 Rhode Island 27 11 5 11 39:30 38
8 Miami FC 29 9 9 11 38:47 36
9 Indy Eleven 28 9 7 12 34:36 34
10 Loudoun United 27 5 12 10 34:44 27
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 28 15 5 8 48:36 50
2 New Mexico 28 14 7 7 44:33 49
3 Sacramento Republic 28 11 12 5 38:26 45
4 Lexington 28 13 5 10 49:33 44
5 FC Tulsa 28 11 10 7 32:25 43
6 Colorado Springs 28 11 8 9 41:38 41
7 Orange County SC 28 10 9 9 37:44 39
8 San Antonio FC 28 9 12 7 29:29 39
9 Las Vegas Lights 28 10 6 12 37:41 36
10 Phoenix Rising 28 9 9 10 39:42 36
11 Oakland Roots 28 8 11 9 33:35 35
12 Monterey Bay 28 5 6 17 30:50 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)