Sport Picks
El Porvenir vs Canuelas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera C 
Match Events
32'
32'
Arrieta J.
66'
66'
De Mario R.
90'
90'
Arias J.
AI Match Summary
The Primera C game between El Porvenir and Canuelas finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Canuelas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- El Porvenir haven't matched Canuelas's recent run of results.
- Model gives Canuelas a 61% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
El Porvenir Clean Sheet 17%
Canuelas Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | El Porvenir | Canuelas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 14 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 5, 2026 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Canuelas
1:1
Jun 7, 2026 Primera C
Canuelas vs El Porvenir
0:0
Apr 18, 2020 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Canuelas
0:0
Nov 1, 2019 Primera C
Canuelas vs El Porvenir
3:0
Mar 12, 2019 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Canuelas
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
El Porvenir Compare
Top Goalscorer Arrieta J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Canuelas Compare
Top Goalscorer Arias J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
El Porvenir 10 / 100
Canuelas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
El Porvenir Canuelas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Canuelas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
El Porvenir scored in 52% of their last 29 games.
Canuelas has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Recent resilience: El Porvenir stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
El Porvenir VS Canuelas
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
El Porvenir
(Home) 05 Oct
El Porvenir
1 : 1 Canuelas
29 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
3 : 2 El Porvenir
21 Sept
El Porvenir
0 : 2 Deportivo Espanol
12 Sept
Juventud Unida San Miguel
0 : 1 El Porvenir
05 Sept
Central Cordoba (Rosario)
2 : 0 El Porvenir
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
El Porvenir
1 : 1 Canuelas
21 Sept
El Porvenir
0 : 2 Deportivo Espanol
29 Aug
El Porvenir
4 : 2 Claypole
23 Aug
El Porvenir
0 : 0 CSD Central Ballester
08 Aug
El Porvenir
0 : 3 Yupanqui
Page 1 of 3
Canuelas
(Away) 05 Oct
El Porvenir
1 : 1 Canuelas
27 Sept
Canuelas
2 : 1 Fenix
21 Sept
Sportivo Barracas
0 : 2 Canuelas
12 Sept
Canuelas
2 : 0 Victoriano Arenas
06 Sept
Canuelas
3 : 2 Club Lujan
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
El Porvenir
1 : 1 Canuelas
21 Sept
Sportivo Barracas
0 : 2 Canuelas
31 Aug
General Lamadrid
0 : 2 Canuelas
09 Aug
Atlas
2 : 0 Canuelas
03 Aug
Yupanqui
1 : 2 Canuelas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Berazategui | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 37:24 | 48 |
| 2 | CSR Espanol | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:28 | 47 |
| 3 | Sacachispas | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 32:26 | 47 |
| 4 | CA Lugano | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 35:28 | 46 |
| 5 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 38:31 | 45 |
| 6 | Estrella Del Sur | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 31:29 | 45 |
| 7 | Mercedes | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 30:24 | 44 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 24:19 | 44 |
| 9 | Puerto Nuevo | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 28:35 | 38 |
| 10 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 25:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Justo Jose de Urquiza | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19:26 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 23:39 | 32 |
| 13 | Leandro N. Alem | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:56 | 31 |
| 14 | Argentino de Rosario | 31 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 30:41 | 27 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Lujan | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 45:22 | 61 |
| 2 | Canuelas | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 39:22 | 58 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba (Rosario) | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 32:22 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportivo Espanol | 31 | 11 | 16 | 4 | 25:16 | 49 |
| 5 | Leones de Rosario | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 29:24 | 48 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 23:27 | 40 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 32:32 | 39 |
| 8 | CSD Central Ballester | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 29:30 | 38 |
| 9 | Atlas | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 23:27 | 37 |
| 10 | El Porvenir | 31 | 7 | 16 | 8 | 26:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Yupanqui | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 33:35 | 35 |
| 12 | Fenix | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 23:30 | 34 |
| 13 | Claypole | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 25:39 | 33 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 22:36 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
