Sport Picks

Stadium Background

El Porvenir vs Claypole - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Rodriguez H.
18' Event
Arrieta J.
29' Event
Paiva A.

AI Match Summary

El Porvenir in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Porvenir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
El Porvenir
20%
Draws
51%
Claypole
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Claypole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Claypole lately — more wins on the board than El Porvenir.
  • Claypole are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
El Porvenir Clean Sheet 20%
Claypole Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Porvenir Claypole
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 14 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 0.86 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Claypole
4:2
May 3, 2026 Primera C
Claypole vs El Porvenir
1:2
Aug 10, 2025 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Claypole
0:0
Apr 26, 2025 Primera C
Claypole vs El Porvenir
4:2
Oct 13, 2024 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Claypole
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Porvenir Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arrieta J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Claypole Compare

Top Goalscorer Paiva A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Llodra L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Porvenir 28 / 100
Claypole 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Porvenir Claypole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Claypole Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Claypole has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

El Porvenir found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: El Porvenir remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

El Porvenir VS Claypole
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

El Porvenir

(Home)
05 Oct
El Porvenir
1 : 1
Canuelas
29 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
3 : 2
El Porvenir
21 Sept
El Porvenir
0 : 2
Deportivo Espanol
12 Sept
Juventud Unida San Miguel
0 : 1
El Porvenir
05 Sept
Central Cordoba (Rosario)
2 : 0
El Porvenir
Page 1 of 6

Claypole

(Away)
06 Oct
Claypole
1 : 1
Deportivo Espanol
26 Sept
Central Cordoba (Rosario)
2 : 1
Claypole
21 Sept
Claypole
2 : 1
Yupanqui
15 Sept
Claypole
2 : 0
Sacachispas
08 Sept
Claypole
0 : 1
CSD Central Ballester
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 31 12 12 7 37:24 48
2 CSR Espanol 31 12 11 8 42:28 47
3 Sacachispas 31 13 8 10 32:26 47
4 CA Lugano 31 11 13 7 35:28 46
5 Juventud Unida San Miguel 31 12 9 10 38:31 45
6 Estrella Del Sur 31 11 12 8 31:29 45
7 Mercedes 31 11 11 9 30:24 44
8 Victoriano Arenas 31 10 14 7 24:19 44
9 Puerto Nuevo 31 9 11 11 28:35 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 31 9 9 13 25:31 36
11 Justo Jose de Urquiza 31 6 14 11 19:26 32
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 31 7 11 13 23:39 32
13 Leandro N. Alem 31 8 7 16 30:56 31
14 Argentino de Rosario 31 4 15 12 30:41 27
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 31 18 7 6 45:22 61
2 Canuelas 31 16 10 5 39:22 58
3 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 31 13 10 8 32:22 49
4 Deportivo Espanol 31 11 16 4 25:16 49
5 Leones de Rosario 31 12 12 7 29:24 48
6 General Lamadrid 31 9 13 9 23:27 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 31 11 6 14 32:32 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 31 10 8 13 29:30 38
9 Atlas 31 9 10 12 23:27 37
10 El Porvenir 31 7 16 8 26:31 37
11 Yupanqui 31 8 11 12 33:35 35
12 Fenix 31 8 10 13 23:30 34
13 Claypole 31 8 9 14 25:39 33
14 Deportivo Muniz 31 6 11 14 22:36 29
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)