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Stadium Background

El Porvenir vs Deportivo Espanol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Perez P.
71' Event
Rios N.
84'
Villagra L.

AI Match Summary

The Primera C game between El Porvenir and Deportivo Espanol finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Espanol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
El Porvenir
30%
Draws
51%
Deportivo Espanol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportivo Espanol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Espanol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Deportivo Espanol are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
El Porvenir Clean Sheet 24%
Deportivo Espanol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Porvenir Deportivo Espanol
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 14 15
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 0.86 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Deportivo Espanol
0:2
May 23, 2026 Primera C
Deportivo Espanol vs El Porvenir
0:0
Aug 18, 2025 Primera C
Deportivo Espanol vs El Porvenir
0:2
May 3, 2025 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Deportivo Espanol
0:1
Nov 15, 2024 Primera C
Deportivo Espanol vs El Porvenir
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Porvenir Compare

Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Deportivo Espanol Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rios N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Porvenir 29 / 100
Deportivo Espanol 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Porvenir Deportivo Espanol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Espanol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Porvenir found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Deportivo Espanol has conceded goals in 38% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: El Porvenir stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Porvenir VS Deportivo Espanol
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.13
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

El Porvenir

(Home)
05 Oct
El Porvenir
1 : 1
Canuelas
29 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
3 : 2
El Porvenir
21 Sept
El Porvenir
0 : 2
Deportivo Espanol
12 Sept
Juventud Unida San Miguel
0 : 1
El Porvenir
05 Sept
Central Cordoba (Rosario)
2 : 0
El Porvenir
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Espanol

(Away)
06 Oct
Claypole
1 : 1
Deportivo Espanol
26 Sept
Deportivo Espanol
1 : 0
CSD Central Ballester
21 Sept
El Porvenir
0 : 2
Deportivo Espanol
10 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 1
Deportivo Espanol
06 Sept
Deportivo Espanol
1 : 0
Fenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 31 12 12 7 37:24 48
2 CSR Espanol 31 12 11 8 42:28 47
3 Sacachispas 31 13 8 10 32:26 47
4 CA Lugano 31 11 13 7 35:28 46
5 Juventud Unida San Miguel 31 12 9 10 38:31 45
6 Estrella Del Sur 31 11 12 8 31:29 45
7 Mercedes 31 11 11 9 30:24 44
8 Victoriano Arenas 31 10 14 7 24:19 44
9 Puerto Nuevo 31 9 11 11 28:35 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 31 9 9 13 25:31 36
11 Justo Jose de Urquiza 31 6 14 11 19:26 32
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 31 7 11 13 23:39 32
13 Leandro N. Alem 31 8 7 16 30:56 31
14 Argentino de Rosario 31 4 15 12 30:41 27
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 31 18 7 6 45:22 61
2 Canuelas 31 16 10 5 39:22 58
3 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 31 13 10 8 32:22 49
4 Deportivo Espanol 31 11 16 4 25:16 49
5 Leones de Rosario 31 12 12 7 29:24 48
6 General Lamadrid 31 9 13 9 23:27 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 31 11 6 14 32:32 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 31 10 8 13 29:30 38
9 Atlas 31 9 10 12 23:27 37
10 El Porvenir 31 7 16 8 26:31 37
11 Yupanqui 31 8 11 12 33:35 35
12 Fenix 31 8 10 13 23:30 34
13 Claypole 31 8 9 14 25:39 33
14 Deportivo Muniz 31 6 11 14 22:36 29
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)