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Stadium Background

El Porvenir vs Yupanqui - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Salomone S.
63' Event
Salomone S.
89' Event
Rousseau J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera C game between El Porvenir and Yupanqui finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yupanqui.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
El Porvenir
30%
Draws
23%
Yupanqui
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: El Porvenir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Yupanqui's 1.07 goals per match outpaces what El Porvenir have produced (0.86).
  • El Porvenir are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
El Porvenir Clean Sheet 20%
Yupanqui Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Porvenir Yupanqui
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 14 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Yupanqui
0:3
Apr 13, 2026 Primera C
Yupanqui vs El Porvenir
2:2
Jul 27, 2024 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Yupanqui
0:1
Feb 24, 2024 Primera C
Yupanqui vs El Porvenir
1:2
May 9, 2016 Primera D
El Porvenir vs Yupanqui
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Porvenir Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Yupanqui Compare

Top Goalscorer Salomone S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rousseau J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Porvenir 36 / 100
Yupanqui 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Porvenir Yupanqui

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Yupanqui conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Yupanqui's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

El Porvenir's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

El Porvenir VS Yupanqui
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

El Porvenir

(Home)
05 Oct
El Porvenir
1 : 1
Canuelas
29 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
3 : 2
El Porvenir
21 Sept
El Porvenir
0 : 2
Deportivo Espanol
12 Sept
Juventud Unida San Miguel
0 : 1
El Porvenir
05 Sept
Central Cordoba (Rosario)
2 : 0
El Porvenir
Page 1 of 6

Yupanqui

(Away)
04 Oct
Central Cordoba (Rosario)
1 : 0
Yupanqui
26 Sept
Yupanqui
0 : 0
General Lamadrid
21 Sept
Claypole
2 : 1
Yupanqui
12 Sept
Estrella Del Sur
1 : 1
Yupanqui
04 Sept
Yupanqui
0 : 1
Leones de Rosario
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 31 12 12 7 37:24 48
2 CSR Espanol 31 12 11 8 42:28 47
3 Sacachispas 31 13 8 10 32:26 47
4 CA Lugano 31 11 13 7 35:28 46
5 Juventud Unida San Miguel 31 12 9 10 38:31 45
6 Estrella Del Sur 31 11 12 8 31:29 45
7 Mercedes 31 11 11 9 30:24 44
8 Victoriano Arenas 31 10 14 7 24:19 44
9 Puerto Nuevo 31 9 11 11 28:35 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 31 9 9 13 25:31 36
11 Justo Jose de Urquiza 31 6 14 11 19:26 32
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 31 7 11 13 23:39 32
13 Leandro N. Alem 31 8 7 16 30:56 31
14 Argentino de Rosario 31 4 15 12 30:41 27
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 31 18 7 6 45:22 61
2 Canuelas 31 16 10 5 39:22 58
3 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 31 13 10 8 32:22 49
4 Deportivo Espanol 31 11 16 4 25:16 49
5 Leones de Rosario 31 12 12 7 29:24 48
6 General Lamadrid 31 9 13 9 23:27 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 31 11 6 14 32:32 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 31 10 8 13 29:30 38
9 Atlas 31 9 10 12 23:27 37
10 El Porvenir 31 7 16 8 26:31 37
11 Yupanqui 31 8 11 12 33:35 35
12 Fenix 31 8 10 13 23:30 34
13 Claypole 31 8 9 14 25:39 33
14 Deportivo Muniz 31 6 11 14 22:36 29
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)