Sport Picks
El Porvenir W vs Gimnasia L.P. W
Argentina
Primera A Women 2023 
Match Events
45'
45'
Esquivel L.
55'
55'
Ayala M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera A Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
17%
70%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Gimnasia L.P. W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- El Porvenir W haven't matched Gimnasia L.P. W's recent run of results.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Gimnasia L.P. W taking it.
- Regular Primera A Women 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
El Porvenir W Clean Sheet 18%
Gimnasia L.P. W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | El Porvenir W | Gimnasia L.P. W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 19 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 10, 2023 Primera A Women
El Porvenir W vs Gimnasia L.P. W
3:3
May 10, 2023 Primera A Women
El Porvenir W vs Gimnasia L.P. W
1:1
May 28, 2022 Primera A Women
Gimnasia L.P. W vs El Porvenir W
2:1
Oct 30, 2021 Primera A Women
El Porvenir W vs Gimnasia L.P. W
2:3
Jun 26, 2021 Primera A Women
Gimnasia L.P. W vs El Porvenir W
4:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
El Porvenir W Compare
Top Goalscorer Ayala M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
Gimnasia L.P. W Compare
Top Goalscorer Esquivel L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
El Porvenir W 15 / 100
Gimnasia L.P. W 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
El Porvenir W Gimnasia L.P. W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GIM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.
Gimnasia L.P. W let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
El Porvenir W found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: El Porvenir W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Gimnasia L.P. W
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
El Porvenir W
(Home) 30 Nov
El Porvenir W
0 : 3 Lanus W
26 Nov
Boca Juniors W
3 : 0 El Porvenir W
13 Nov
El Porvenir W
0 : 0 Huracan W
17 Oct
Excursionistas W
1 : 0 El Porvenir W
09 Oct
CA Estudiantes W
1 : 2 El Porvenir W
Page 1 of 6
30 Nov
El Porvenir W
0 : 3 Lanus W
13 Nov
El Porvenir W
0 : 0 Huracan W
15 Sept
El Porvenir W
0 : 0 Social Atletico Television W
10 Sept
El Porvenir W
3 : 3 Gimnasia L.P. W
27 Aug
El Porvenir W
0 : 3 Racing Club W
Page 1 of 3
Gimnasia L.P. W
(Away) 27 Jul
Union de Santa Fe W
2 : 0 Gimnasia L.P. W
17 Jul
CA Independiente W
0 : 2 Gimnasia L.P. W
13 Jul
Gimnasia L.P. W
2 : 1 Huracan W
08 Jul
CA Belgrano de Cordoba W
2 : 1 Gimnasia L.P. W
04 Jul
Gimnasia L.P. W
4 : 2 River Plate W
Page 1 of 7
27 Jul
Union de Santa Fe W
2 : 0 Gimnasia L.P. W
17 Jul
CA Independiente W
0 : 2 Gimnasia L.P. W
08 Jul
CA Belgrano de Cordoba W
2 : 1 Gimnasia L.P. W
27 Jun
CA Banfield W
2 : 2 Gimnasia L.P. W
23 May
Racing Club W
4 : 1 Gimnasia L.P. W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors W | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 43:7 | 48 |
| 2 | UAI Urquiza W | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 42:8 | 48 |
| 3 | Rosario Central W | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 32:8 | 43 |
| 4 | River Plate W | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 29:15 | 36 |
| 5 | Platense W | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | 35 |
| 6 | Racing Club W | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27:16 | 31 |
| 7 | CA Independiente W | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 23:16 | 30 |
| 8 | San Lorenzo W | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26:22 | 29 |
| 9 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba W | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 26:18 | 28 |
| 10 | Huracan W | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 16:15 | 27 |
| 11 | Excursionistas W | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:26 | 24 |
| 12 | CA Banfield W | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 17:22 | 23 |
| 13 | Gimnasia L.P. W | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:20 | 22 |
| 14 | Social Atletico Television W | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:24 | 22 |
| 15 | CA Estudiantes W | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 23:29 | 21 |
| 16 | Ferro W | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 20:25 | 20 |
| 17 | Estudiantes L.P. W | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14:32 | 15 |
| 18 | El Porvenir W | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16:42 | 15 |
| 19 | Defensores de Belgrano W | 19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8:46 | 8 |
| 20 | Lanus W | 19 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 10:45 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera A Women 2023 (Additional match)
