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El Salvador vs Bonaire Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024 Audi Field, Washington, DC
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Fuentes G.
Own Goal
68' Event
Punyed P.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between El Salvador and Bonaire finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
El Salvador
15%
Draws
26%
Bonaire
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: El Salvador

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • El Salvador carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and El Salvador have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
El Salvador Clean Sheet 20%
Bonaire Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Salvador Bonaire
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.16 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Bonaire vs El Salvador
0:1
Sep 9, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
El Salvador vs Bonaire
2:1
Mar 20, 2024 Friendly International
El Salvador vs Bonaire
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Salvador Compare

Top Goalscorer Punyed P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bonaire Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Salvador 31 / 100
Bonaire 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Salvador Bonaire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Salvador Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonaire has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: El Salvador scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

El Salvador has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

El Salvador VS Bonaire
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

El Salvador

(Home)
29 Sept
Guatemala
6 : 0
El Salvador
26 Sept
El Salvador
3 : 1
Martinique
10 Jul
Club Tijuana
2 : 2
El Salvador
05 Jul
Los Angeles FC
3 : 0
El Salvador
03 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 : 3
El Salvador
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Bonaire

(Away)
28 Sept
Cuba
2 : 0
Bonaire
26 Sept
Bonaire
1 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0
Bonaire
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3
Saint Martin
27 Mar
Bonaire
3 : 1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
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